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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 UK Recession in 2026? | No | 299.58 | $0.638 | $284.6 | +$93.34 |
 Will the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will turnout in the Icelandic EU membership negotiations referendum be under 45%?No | buy | 20 | $0.980 | $19.6 | 13d ago |
|
| No |
| 54.95 |
| $0.910 |
| $53.21 |
| +$3.21 |
| Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.320 | $44.5 | +$12.5 |
 Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | No | 50 | $0.890 | $39.25 | -$5.25 |
 Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? | Yes | 64.41 | $0.278 | $25.44 | +$7.56 |
 Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%? | Yes | 62.58 | $0.390 | $23.15 | -$1.25 |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 5.50%? | No | 20.6 | $0.922 | $20.22 | +$1.22 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? | No | 19.99 | $0.932 | $18.64 | +$0.02 |
| Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026? | Yes | 33.95 | $0.420 | $17.82 | +$3.56 |
 Japan recession in 2026? | No | 10.93 | $0.679 | $10.27 | +$2.85 |
 Will world GDP growth be 3.3% in 2026? | Yes | 181.39 | $0.041 | $5.62 | -$1.8 |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%? | Yes | 39.99 | $0.162 | $5.62 | -$0.86 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 25.45 | $0.022 | $3.84 | +$3.28 |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | Yes | 680 | $0.519 | $3.74 | -$349.24 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 50 | $0.137 | $3.73 | -$3.13 |
 Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.9% and 2.1%? | Yes | 60.67 | $0.037 | $0.85 | -$1.41 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 16.45 | $0.150 | $0.25 | -$2.21 |
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.3% and 1.5%? | Yes | 5 | $0.005 | $0.01 | -$0.01 |
| buy |
| 220 |
| $0.530 |
| $116.58 |
| Jul 29, 2026 |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Yes | buy | 180 | $0.520 | $93.6 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Yes | buy | 280 | $0.510 | $142.8 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?No | buy | 50 | $0.821 | $41.05 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?No | buy | 137 | $0.900 | $123.3 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsNo | buy | 28 | $0.720 | $20.16 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsNo | buy | 25 | $0.710 | $17.75 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsNo | buy | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?No | buy | 11 | $0.190 | $2.09 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?No | buy | 111 | $0.340 | $37.74 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?No | buy | 76 | $0.190 | $14.44 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?No | buy | 90 | $0.390 | $35.1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?No | buy | 79 | $0.320 | $25.28 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JuneNothing | sell | 40 | $0.975 | $39 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?No | buy | 82 | $0.330 | $27.06 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?No | buy | 81 | $0.320 | $25.92 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.046 | $1.38 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 19.99 | $0.940 | $18.79 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 50 | $0.940 | $47 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 50 | $0.890 | $44.5 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO: Trading Halted for Volatility?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.880 | $7.04 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)?No | buy | 47.36 | $0.660 | $31.26 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 20 | $0.840 | $16.8 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)?No | buy | 20 | $0.660 | $13.2 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 250 (High)?No | buy | 20 | $0.930 | $18.6 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 250 (High)?No | buy | 20 | $0.930 | $18.6 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 1.0%?No | buy | 10 | $0.960 | $9.6 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 1.0%?No | buy | 10 | $0.960 | $9.6 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 1.0%?No | buy | 10 | $0.960 | $9.6 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 1.0%?No | buy | 10 | $0.960 | $9.6 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?No | buy | 100 | $0.220 | $22 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes | buy | 29.99 | $0.630 | $18.89 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in June?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.120 | $4.32 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 42.59 | $0.920 | $39.18 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will JOLTS Job Openings be at least 7.2M in April?No | buy | 19.99 | $0.940 | $18.79 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 6.6M and 6.7M in April?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.120 | $4.8 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.580 | $58 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 100 | $0.934 | $93.4 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.890 | $5.93 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 158.13 | $0.860 | $135.99 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No | sell | 91.29 | $0.934 | $85.26 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | May 30, 2026 |
| Japan recession in 2026?No | buy | 8.07 | $0.690 | $5.57 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 1.1% and 1.4%?Yes | sell | 139.01 | $0.001 | $0.14 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.210 | $2.1 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.3% in 2026?Yes | buy | 43 | $0.033 | $1.42 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.7%?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.460 | $5.06 | May 19, 2026 |