Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 890 | $0.910 | $823.25 | +$13.35 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 8 | $0.975 | $7.8 | May 6, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 206.1 |
| $0.930 |
| $201.46 |
| +$9.79 |
 Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 4.3 | $0.980 | $4.28 | +$0.07 |
 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 3.63 | $0.982 | $3.62 | +$0.06 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 2.93 | $0.978 | $2.83 | -$0.04 |
 Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 0.62 | $0.969 | $0.62 | +$0.01 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? | No | 0.2 | $0.982 | $0.2 | +$0 |
| buy |
| 890 |
| $0.910 |
| $809.9 |
| May 6, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 817.24 | $0.967 | $790.27 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 206.1 | $0.930 | $191.67 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group ASpirit | buy | 191.67 | $0.890 | $170.59 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 769.99 | $0.969 | $746.12 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 745.06 | $0.945 | $703.81 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Jaxson Dart be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?No | sell | 60 | $0.528 | $31.68 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Taylor Swift perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No | sell | 39.61 | $0.969 | $38.38 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Chile's election?No | sell | 44.01 | $0.983 | $43.25 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Crystal Palace finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?No | sell | 55 | $0.949 | $52.22 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 57.2 | $0.922 | $52.73 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Nord Stream pipeline turned on in 2025?No | sell | 58.2 | $0.964 | $56.12 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?Yes | sell | 58.95 | $0.958 | $56.45 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025?No | sell | 60 | $0.957 | $57.42 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration in 2025?No | sell | 60 | $0.926 | $55.59 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?No | sell | 5.36 | $0.908 | $4.87 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will CDA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?Yes | sell | 29.99 | $0.759 | $22.76 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | sell | 59.99 | $0.211 | $12.66 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 37.97 | $0.322 | $12.23 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump remove municipal bond tax exemption in 2025?No | sell | 33.35 | $0.921 | $30.72 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | sell | 18.34 | $0.999 | $18.32 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?No | sell | 26.6 | $0.998 | $26.55 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Israel banned from Eurovision 2026 by November 30?No | sell | 30 | $0.969 | $29.07 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 18.77 | $0.928 | $17.42 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration this year?No | sell | 51.88 | $0.948 | $49.18 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | sell | 32.95 | $0.866 | $28.53 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?No | buy | 5 | $0.839 | $4.2 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?No | buy | 24.62 | $0.840 | $20.68 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?No | buy | 12.66 | $0.902 | $11.42 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?Yes | sell | 6.42 | $0.647 | $4.15 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?No | sell | 51.38 | $0.985 | $50.61 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Yes | sell | 31.19 | $0.958 | $29.88 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?No | sell | 28.91 | $0.920 | $26.6 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes | sell | 59.99 | $0.993 | $59.57 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | buy | 6.45 | $0.671 | $4.33 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | buy | 19.61 | $0.671 | $13.16 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the October meeting?Yes | sell | 27.95 | $0.980 | $27.39 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2025?No | buy | 13.34 | $0.969 | $12.93 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?No | buy | 30 | $0.898 | $26.95 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?No | sell | 14.33 | $0.975 | $13.97 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?No | sell | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Turkey by December 31?No | sell | 60 | $0.979 | $58.74 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Timothée Chalamet be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?No | buy | 6.04 | $0.955 | $5.77 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Timothée Chalamet be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?No | buy | 16.22 | $0.955 | $15.49 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by October 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.945 | $18.9 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 USDT depeg in 2025?No | sell | 9.08 | $0.980 | $8.9 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Abstract launch a token in 2025?No | sell | 31.17 | $0.923 | $28.77 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will the next Dutch government be another combination?No | buy | 20.67 | $0.958 | $19.8 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?No | buy | 12.51 | $0.789 | $9.87 | Oct 28, 2025 |