Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 500 | $0.340 | $60.25 | -$109.75 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 110 | $0.838 | $92.18 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 400 |
| $0.383 |
| $30 |
| -$123.14 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.210 | $17.25 | -$87.75 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 200 | $0.180 | $15.3 | -$20.7 |
 Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.360 | $13.5 | -$22.5 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes | 60 | $0.670 | $12.9 | -$27.3 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 150 | $0.428 | $11.25 | -$52.95 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 140 | $0.898 | $9.17 | -$116.55 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 302.71 | $0.095 | $7.72 | -$21.04 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.104 | $3.85 | -$6.55 |
 Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 199.98 | $0.225 | $2.5 | -$42.45 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.120 | $2.25 | -$9.75 |
| sell |
| 25 |
| $0.900 |
| $22.5 |
| Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will AppLovin acquire TikTok?No | sell | 50 | $0.981 | $49.05 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 100 | $0.931 | $93.1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Walmart acquire TikTok?No | sell | 118 | $0.990 | $116.82 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.999 | $19.98 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.628 | $12.56 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.520 | $26 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 302.71 | $0.095 | $28.76 | May 7, 2026 |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.670 | $40.2 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Walmart acquire TikTok?No | buy | 118 | $0.940 | $110.94 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.730 | $14.6 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.610 | $18.3 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.470 | $9.4 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.320 | $32 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.999 | $9.99 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 65.66 | $0.880 | $57.78 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | sell | 23.91 | $0.994 | $23.77 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.509 | $15.28 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | buy | 23.91 | $0.800 | $19.13 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.360 | $30 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.982 | $49.1 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No | buy | 160.11 | $0.317 | $50.68 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 147.51 | $0.339 | $50 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 25 | $0.810 | $20.25 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.750 | $7.5 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | buy | 20 | $0.563 | $11.26 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.210 | $6.3 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.481 | $24.05 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.500 | $50.03 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 140 | $0.898 | $125.72 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.938 | $93.8 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.024 | $4.8 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.910 | $91 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.104 | $10.4 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.268 | $8.05 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.012 | $1.2 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.380 | $38 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.307 | $30.67 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.330 | $99 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.210 | $84 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Antifa" this week? (February 1)No | buy | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Dog" or "Doggy" this week? (February 1)No | buy | 20 | $0.871 | $17.43 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Peanut" this week? (February 1)No | buy | 20 | $0.780 | $15.6 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.339 | $33.88 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during Fed chair announcement?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.283 | $28.27 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.387 | $38.73 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.614 | $11.05 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 50 | $0.220 | $11 | Jan 27, 2026 |