Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 6.19 | $0.323 | $0.96 | -$1.04 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | May 31, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 11.9 |
| $0.168 |
| $0.77 |
| -$1.23 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 2.27 | $0.440 | $0.62 | -$0.38 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Yes | 4.55 | $0.220 | $0.59 | -$0.41 |
 Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.100 | $0.51 | -$0.49 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.060 | $0.46 | -$0.54 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 2.94 | $0.340 | $0.43 | -$0.57 |
 OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | Yes | 3.85 | $0.260 | $0.25 | -$0.75 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 3.57 | $0.280 | $0.2 | -$0.8 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 2.44 | $0.410 | $0.16 | -$0.84 |
| buy |
| 3.45 |
| $0.290 |
| $1 |
| May 31, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | May 23, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30?No | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 37.6 | $0.027 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by May 31?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.046 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes | buy | 26.71 | $0.037 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETDown | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETDown | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETUp | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETDown | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETDown | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETUp | buy | 23.81 | $0.420 | $10 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETUp | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during King Charles visit?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Free World" during King Charles visit?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETDown | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump dance today?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETUp | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETDown | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETDown | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETUp | buy | 1.82 | $0.510 | $0.93 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETDown | buy | 1.79 | $0.520 | $0.93 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.390 | $0.95 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?Yes | buy | 4.42 | $0.200 | $0.88 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Somali" or "Somalia" or "Somalian" during King Charles visit?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.359 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Immigration" or "Immigrant" during King Charles visit?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETDown | buy | 3.1 | $0.290 | $0.9 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Apr 27, 2026 |