Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.78K | $0.028 | $190.19 | Feb 9, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 6.78K |
| $0.028 |
| $188.27 |
| Feb 9, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 214.68 | $0.040 | $8.59 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 25.61 | $0.460 | $11.78 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 38.08 | $0.210 | $8 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 15.94 | $0.440 | $7.01 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Yes | sell | 251.28 | $0.010 | $2.51 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 11.95 | $0.490 | $5.86 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 12.76 | $0.390 | $4.98 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?Yes | sell | 435.53 | $0.011 | $4.79 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | sell | 25.01 | $0.150 | $3.75 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 13.86 | $0.410 | $5.68 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 24.79 | $0.150 | $3.72 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 15.69 | $0.324 | $5.08 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?Yes | sell | 10.92 | $0.408 | $4.46 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 9.13 | $0.400 | $3.65 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 72.36 | $0.039 | $2.82 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 41.29 | $0.090 | $3.72 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 30.53 | $0.060 | $1.83 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 22.63 | $0.130 | $2.94 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?Yes | sell | 15.32 | $0.140 | $2.14 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?Yes | sell | 11.32 | $0.160 | $1.81 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.260 | $2.08 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Liverpool finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 34.25 | $0.038 | $1.3 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 56.39 | $0.030 | $1.69 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 41.29 | $0.029 | $1.22 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will the 49ers win the 2026 NFC Championship?Yes | sell | 36.68 | $0.112 | $4.11 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 7.66 | $0.140 | $1.07 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 12.64 | $0.050 | $0.63 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.29 | $0.130 | $0.95 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 15.85 | $0.058 | $0.92 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 6.14 | $0.120 | $0.74 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Football.Fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 25.02 | $0.020 | $0.5 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 11.55 | $0.140 | $1.62 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.29 | $0.150 | $1.09 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 6.07 | $0.490 | $2.97 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 41.29 | $0.031 | $1.28 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.286 | $2.2 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 5.84 | $0.480 | $2.8 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?Yes | buy | 121.11 | $0.012 | $1.45 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 15.94 | $0.470 | $7.49 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?Yes | buy | 161.66 | $0.012 | $1.94 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.273 | $2.18 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 13.86 | $0.360 | $4.99 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 43.46 | $0.038 | $1.65 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 12.76 | $0.400 | $5.1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 40.56 | $0.036 | $1.46 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 39.17 | $0.035 | $1.37 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 6.14 | $0.140 | $0.86 | Jan 11, 2026 |