Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin all time high by October 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 3.03 |
| $0.330 |
| $1 |
| Oct 5, 2025 |
 Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will Israel carry out an airstrike on the West Bank by September 30?No | buy | 4.94 | $0.810 | $4 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?No | buy | 4.07 | $0.246 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.078 | $1.2 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.510 | $2.6 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?No | buy | 2.75 | $0.910 | $2.5 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?No | buy | 2.91 | $0.860 | $2.5 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?No | buy | 2.47 | $0.810 | $2 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.09 | $0.230 | $2.55 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.220 | $2.5 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.006 | $1.5 | Aug 3, 2025 |