Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Iran nuclear test before 2027? | Yes | 3.22K | $0.053 | $161.04 | -$8.96 |
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 246.83 | $0.041 | $10 | 1d ago |
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| Yes |
| 533.76 |
| $0.187 |
| $78.46 |
| -$21.54 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 227.27 | $0.220 | $50 | +$0 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 246.83 | $0.041 | $21.1 | +$11.1 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | Yes | 111.11 | $0.090 | $20.56 | +$10.56 |
| buy |
| 111.11 |
| $0.090 |
| $10 |
| 1d ago |
Iran nuclear test before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.22K | $0.050 | $110 | 1d ago |
Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 10.59 | $0.104 | $1.1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.220 | $50 | Jul 23, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 85.47 | $0.468 | $40 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 114.29 | $0.350 | $40 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | buy | 282.58 | $0.177 | $50 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Iran nuclear test before 2027?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.060 | $60 | Jul 23, 2026 |
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Yes | buy | 257.95 | $0.271 | $70 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes | buy | 533.76 | $0.187 | $100 | Jul 23, 2026 |
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 51.72 | $0.580 | $30 | Jul 23, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 128.21 | $0.390 | $50 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes | buy | 263.16 | $0.190 | $50 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Iran full airspace closure by July 24?Yes | buy | 706.54 | $0.156 | $110 | Jul 23, 2026 |
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?No | buy | 196.52 | $0.560 | $110 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.340 | $20 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Weed rescheduled in 2025?Yes | buy | 417.26 | $0.048 | $20 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.130 | $20 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 591.18 | $0.034 | $20 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Yes | buy | 636.26 | $0.079 | $50 | Dec 4, 2025 |
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.160 | $50 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 192.31 | $0.130 | $25 | Nov 26, 2025 |