Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 3.39 | $0.570 | $2.83 | +$0.9 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?Yes | sell | 5.38 | $0.018 | $0.1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 12.46 |
| $0.035 |
| $0.44 |
| Mar 10, 2026 |
 ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?Yes | sell | 8.94 | $0.024 | $0.21 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No | sell | 6.24 | $0.138 | $0.86 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | sell | 7.09 | $0.650 | $4.61 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | sell | 23.75 | $0.271 | $6.44 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will 6 judges rule in favor of Trump's Tarriffs?Yes | sell | 46.58 | $0.060 | $2.79 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will 5 judges rule in favor of Trump's Tarriffs?Yes | sell | 77.31 | $0.180 | $13.92 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will 3 judges rule in favor of Trump's Tarriffs?Yes | sell | 26.72 | $0.240 | $6.41 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will 4 judges rule in favor of Trump's Tarriffs?Yes | sell | 24.45 | $0.120 | $2.93 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will 0 judges rule in favor of Trump's Tarriffs?Yes | sell | 36.43 | $0.108 | $3.94 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?No | sell | 2.31 | $0.975 | $2.25 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 15.51 | $0.580 | $9 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?No | sell | 6.72 | $0.390 | $2.62 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?No | sell | 22.62 | $0.151 | $3.41 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 million?Yes | sell | 25.71 | $0.059 | $1.52 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?Yes | sell | 8.26 | $0.450 | $3.72 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?Yes | sell | 11.21 | $0.080 | $0.9 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 8.62 | $0.400 | $3.45 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?No | sell | 7.45 | $0.801 | $5.97 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 10.36 | $0.400 | $4.14 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 14.61 | $0.013 | $0.19 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will 4 judges rule in favor of Trump's Tarriffs?No | sell | 3.61 | $0.850 | $3.07 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?Yes | sell | 15.92 | $0.200 | $3.18 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | sell | 7.44 | $0.629 | $4.68 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | sell | 25.17 | $0.230 | $5.79 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Atanas Atanasov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?No | sell | 4.53 | $0.930 | $4.21 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?No | sell | 3.97 | $0.220 | $0.87 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Betty McCollum be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Yes | sell | 79.16 | $0.008 | $0.67 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Yes | sell | 21.4 | $0.257 | $5.49 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?Yes | sell | 15.81 | $0.130 | $2.06 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Finland join the Board of Peace?Yes | sell | 13.84 | $0.042 | $0.58 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Kate Abughazaleh be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?Yes | sell | 11.66 | $0.151 | $1.76 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Kate Abughazaleh be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?No | sell | 7.28 | $0.820 | $5.97 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?No | sell | 8.56 | $0.100 | $0.86 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Yes | sell | 25.16 | $0.298 | $7.5 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 8.2 | $0.240 | $1.97 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?Yes | sell | 6.19 | $0.490 | $3.03 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?No | sell | 4.87 | $0.895 | $4.36 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Nepali Communist Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.025 | $0.36 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Nepali Communist Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?No | sell | 4.71 | $0.968 | $4.56 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Atanas Atanasov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes | sell | 31.15 | $0.013 | $0.39 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Delyan Peevski win the next Bulgarian presidential election?No | sell | 4.53 | $0.960 | $4.35 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Rosen Plevneliev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?No | sell | 4.53 | $0.910 | $4.12 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Yanaki Stoilov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?No | sell | 4.52 | $0.931 | $4.21 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | sell | 9.39 | $0.400 | $3.76 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will the U.K. join the Board of Peace?Yes | sell | 20.23 | $0.036 | $0.73 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk's net worth be at least $670b on January 31?Yes | sell | 5.13 | $0.828 | $4.25 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by February 28?Yes | sell | 16.38 | $0.009 | $0.15 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by February 28?No | sell | 5.53 | $0.903 | $4.99 | Jan 29, 2026 |