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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.927 | $92.73 | Jun 22, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 50 |
| $0.047 |
| $2.35 |
| Jun 22, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.104 | $5.2 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.094 | $9.4 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?No | sell | 99.99 | $0.200 | $20 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?Yes | sell | 29.41 | $0.530 | $15.59 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.679 | $19.97 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | sell | 56.62 | $0.005 | $0.28 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be less than 1.25T?No | buy | 162.08 | $0.948 | $153.65 | Apr 1, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.130 | $130 | Mar 26, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | sell | 154.65 | $0.018 | $2.78 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | sell | 79.53 | $0.020 | $1.59 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | sell | 308.98 | $0.020 | $6.18 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | sell | 382.03 | $0.020 | $7.64 | Mar 25, 2026 |
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 177.85 | $0.972 | $172.96 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 172.95 | $0.977 | $168.94 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 639.97 | $0.261 | $167.03 | Feb 26, 2026 |
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 227.39 | $0.900 | $204.65 | Jan 5, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?No | buy | 195.33 | $0.940 | $183.61 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?No | sell | 199.98 | $0.908 | $181.63 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?No | buy | 172 | $0.990 | $170.28 | Dec 24, 2025 |
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 202.09 | $0.930 | $187.94 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will Base launch a token in 2025?No | sell | 183.48 | $0.993 | $182.2 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Base launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 183.49 | $0.995 | $182.57 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?No | sell | 133.58 | $0.984 | $131.44 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?No | buy | 133.59 | $0.977 | $130.5 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 132.22 | $0.987 | $130.5 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 132.23 | $0.988 | $130.64 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | sell | 51.17 | $0.991 | $50.71 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 41.32 | $0.650 | $26.86 | Nov 22, 2025 |
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 57.78 | $0.800 | $46.22 | Nov 6, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 102.35 | $0.977 | $100 | Nov 6, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 149.97 | $0.943 | $141.42 | Nov 1, 2025 |