Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 12.96 | $0.186 | $2.14 | -$0.27 |
 Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.71 | $0.210 | $1.41 | 23d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 10 |
| $0.100 |
| $0.67 |
| -$0.34 |
 Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | Yes | 86.61 | $0.011 | $0.43 | -$0.57 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 250 | $0.004 | $0.38 | -$0.62 |
 Will Rotimi Amaechi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? | Yes | 50.88 | $0.020 | $0.15 | -$0.85 |
| buy |
| 250 |
| $0.004 |
| $1 |
| 23d ago |
| Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Yes | buy | 86.61 | $0.012 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.028 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes | buy | 36.79 | $0.027 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Jose Mourinho attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.034 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Jovan Owusu-Nepaul win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Effie Phillips-Staley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?Yes | buy | 386.44 | $0.003 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Rotimi Amaechi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 50.88 | $0.020 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will another outcome occur in the NY-10 Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 5.97 | $0.670 | $4 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | May 27, 2026 |
 US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will DICK's Sporting Goods Q1 Dick's business comparable sales growth be between 4% and 5%?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will DICK's Sporting Goods Q1 Dick's business comparable sales growth be below 2%?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | May 27, 2026 |
 Pierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | May 27, 2026 |
 Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | May 27, 2026 |
 Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | May 27, 2026 |
 Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | May 27, 2026 |
 Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.047 | $1 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 10% and 15%?Yes | buy | 164.5 | $0.006 | $1 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 15% and 20%?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 20% and 25%?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 25% and 30%?No | buy | 72.06 | $0.014 | $1 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 30% or more?Yes | buy | 46 | $0.012 | $0.56 | May 27, 2026 |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?Yes | buy | 13.08 | $0.076 | $1 | May 27, 2026 |
 GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.97 | $0.063 | $1 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Comey smile in his mugshot?Yes | buy | 71.14 | $0.014 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will "Garden" or "Grove" be in the headlines this week?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will "Stupid" be in the headlines this week?Yes | buy | 28.36 | $0.035 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will "The Last Viking" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No | sell | 5.15 | $0.993 | $5.11 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump dance on May 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | May 23, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.19 | $0.313 | $1 | May 18, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Neymar play in the World Cup?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | May 18, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
 Billions FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 68.17 | $0.015 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?No | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump's remarks not air?Yes | buy | 18.36 | $0.054 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" during Small Business Summit?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
 QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |