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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026? | No | 36.99 | $0.676 | $26.26 | +$1.26 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 82.81 | $0.157 | $13 | Jul 24, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 108.7 |
| $0.230 |
| $16.85 |
| -$8.15 |
| Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 82.81 | $0.157 | $9.52 | -$3.48 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Yes | 23.81 | $0.210 | $2.26 | -$2.74 |
| buy |
| 36.99 |
| $0.676 |
| $25 |
| Jul 24, 2026 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 108.7 | $0.230 | $25 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 15.87 | $0.945 | $15 | May 19, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | May 19, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.941 | $1 | May 19, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes | buy | 192.31 | $0.026 | $5 | May 3, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | May 3, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETDown | buy | 28.68 | $0.030 | $0.86 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETDown | buy | 42.94 | $0.020 | $0.86 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETDown | buy | 85.74 | $0.010 | $0.86 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETDown | buy | 9.66 | $0.090 | $0.87 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETUp | buy | 85.74 | $0.010 | $0.86 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETDown | sell | 1.1 | $0.970 | $1.07 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETDown | buy | 1.1 | $0.900 | $0.99 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETUp | buy | 5.18 | $0.170 | $0.88 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 8?Yes | buy | 43.78 | $0.023 | $1 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 12.59 | $0.397 | $5 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by March 31?Yes | buy | 304.98 | $0.016 | $5 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?Yes | buy | 409.74 | $0.012 | $5 | Mar 28, 2026 |