Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the March Meeting?Yes | buy | 67.07 | $0.111 | $7.44 | Mar 18, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 500 |
| $0.002 |
| $1 |
| Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the March Meeting?Yes | sell | 93.83 | $0.090 | $8.44 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the March Meeting?Yes | buy | 93.83 | $0.111 | $10.41 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Powell say "Volatile" during March press conference?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.048 | $4 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Dollar" 2+ times during March press conference?Yes | buy | 17.14 | $0.350 | $6 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Percent" 20+ times during March press conference?No | buy | 36.36 | $0.110 | $4 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | sell | 77.65 | $0.340 | $26.4 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | buy | 77.65 | $0.230 | $17.86 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 63.82 | $0.280 | $17.87 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?No | sell | 107.65 | $0.470 | $50.6 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?No | buy | 107.66 | $0.316 | $34 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.680 | $34 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?Yes | buy | 67.9 | $0.620 | $42.1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.600 | $30 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Rainbow FDV above $70M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 42.87 | $0.700 | $30 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No | buy | 40.72 | $0.737 | $30 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 63.83 | $0.470 | $30 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Tria FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 458.47 | $0.002 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Tria FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Tria FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Tria FDV above $50M one day after launch?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Tria FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | buy | 240 | $0.004 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETUp | buy | 21.04 | $0.520 | $10.94 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 9AM ETUp | buy | 44.44 | $0.450 | $20 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 9AM ETUp | buy | 51.28 | $0.390 | $20 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 384.62 | $0.026 | $10 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 11PM ETDown | sell | 40.81 | $0.580 | $23.67 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 11PM ETDown | buy | 40.82 | $0.490 | $20 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 465.12 | $0.043 | $20 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?Yes | buy | 57.75 | $0.250 | $14.43 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 XRP Up or Down - January 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETDown | buy | 37.99 | $0.510 | $19.38 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down - January 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETDown | buy | 37.99 | $0.510 | $19.38 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETUp | buy | 40.37 | $0.480 | $19.38 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETDown | buy | 36.57 | $0.530 | $19.38 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - January 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETDown | buy | 37.99 | $0.510 | $19.38 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - January 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETUp | buy | 37.2 | $0.521 | $19.38 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETDown | buy | 39.54 | $0.490 | $19.38 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETDown | buy | 37.99 | $0.510 | $19.38 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETUp | sell | 96.7 | $0.490 | $47.38 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETUp | buy | 95.17 | $0.509 | $48.44 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETUp | sell | 19.3 | $0.490 | $9.46 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - January 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETDown | buy | 9.5 | $0.510 | $4.84 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETUp | buy | 19 | $0.510 | $9.69 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETUp | buy | 20.62 | $0.470 | $9.69 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 9AM ETDown | sell | 22.5 | $0.190 | $4.27 | Jan 18, 2026 |