Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 4.44 | $0.450 | $4.2 | +$2.2 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 4.44 |
| $0.450 |
| $2 |
| Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Lighter dip to $1 before 2027?Yes | buy | 7.58 | $0.660 | $5 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.045 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Will Czechia vs. Gibraltar end in a draw?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by October 31?No | buy | 23.24 | $0.990 | $23 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Doge ETF approved in 2025?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.920 | $4 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Belgian Sprint Race?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?Yes | sell | 9.67 | $0.370 | $3.58 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will Iran declare war on Israel by Friday?No | buy | 2.43K | $0.973 | $2.37K | Jun 19, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2.37K | $0.998 | $2.36K | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be between 74-75°F on June 16?No | buy | 2.36K | $0.998 | $2.36K | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?No | buy | 2.36K | $0.990 | $2.34K | Jun 15, 2025 |
| Will Lance Stroll win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?No | buy | 534.04 | $0.999 | $533.39 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Karen Bass arrested by Friday?No | buy | 501.01 | $0.998 | $500 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 250–274 times June 6–13?No | buy | 500.5 | $0.999 | $500 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on June 11?No | buy | 729.37 | $0.996 | $726.44 | Jun 12, 2025 |
 Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by Friday?No | buy | 800.8 | $0.999 | $800 | Jun 12, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 150 times June 6–13?No | buy | 804.02 | $0.995 | $800 | Jun 12, 2025 |
| Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?Yes | buy | 9.68 | $0.310 | $3 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 34.48 | $0.870 | $30 | May 3, 2025 |
 Will Luís Montenegro be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?Yes | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Apr 3, 2025 |
 Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 4.88 | $0.410 | $2 | Apr 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump withdraw the U.S. from NATO in 2025?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Mar 4, 2025 |
 Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 28.86 | $0.347 | $10 | Feb 8, 2025 |
 Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 6.41 | $0.510 | $3.27 | Dec 29, 2024 |
 Berachain airdrop in 2024?No | buy | 50.69 | $0.969 | $49.09 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Will Jerome Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December FOMC Press Conference?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Dec 15, 2024 |
| Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during December FOMC Press Conference?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | Dec 15, 2024 |
| Will Jerome Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December FOMC Press Conference?No | sell | 23.8 | $0.889 | $21.15 | Dec 15, 2024 |
| Will Jerome Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December FOMC Press Conference?No | buy | 23.81 | $0.840 | $20 | Dec 8, 2024 |