Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 28.72 | $0.975 | $28.27 | +$0.27 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?No | buy | 21.35 | $0.999 | $21.33 | 11d ago |
|
| No |
| 23.3 |
| $0.962 |
| $22.96 |
| +$0.55 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 19.1 | $0.890 | $18.52 | +$1.52 |
 Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 13.86 | $0.974 | $13.78 | +$0.28 |
| Base FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 14.51 | $0.820 | $8.49 | -$3.41 |
| Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Yes | 18.12 | $0.920 | $7.7 | -$8.97 |
| sell |
| 2.06 |
| $0.998 |
| $2.06 |
| Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 324.47 | $0.034 | $11.13 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 165.61 | $0.472 | $78.12 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 78.61 | $0.264 | $20.79 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 84.48 | $0.163 | $13.77 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 87.01 | $0.255 | $22.2 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 240 | $0.163 | $39.12 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 13.86 | $0.974 | $13.5 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?No | buy | 22.24 | $0.999 | $22.22 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 18.04 | $0.998 | $18 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 12.09 | $0.996 | $12.04 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?Yes | buy | 10.89 | $0.994 | $10.82 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 14.51 | $0.820 | $11.9 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?No | buy | 30.23 | $0.996 | $30.11 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 23.3 | $0.962 | $22.41 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 20.12 | $0.994 | $20 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 19.1 | $0.890 | $17 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will the DHS shutdown last 7 days or more?Yes | buy | 11.01 | $0.999 | $11 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?Yes | buy | 11.29 | $0.940 | $10.61 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 18.12 | $0.920 | $16.67 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?No | buy | 13.38 | $0.996 | $13.33 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Slavia Pragu win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 8.02 | $0.999 | $8.01 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?No | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 30.09 | $0.997 | $30 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 28.72 | $0.975 | $28 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 7.12 | $0.983 | $7 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 GTA VI released before June 2026?No | buy | 22.65 | $0.988 | $22.38 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Over $200M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No | buy | 7.18 | $0.720 | $5.17 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Is Earth flat?No | buy | 6.21 | $0.998 | $6.2 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 GTA VI released in 2025?No | buy | 17.03 | $0.998 | $17 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump be impeached in 2025?No | buy | 13.96 | $0.996 | $13.9 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will Canada join US as 51st state in 2025?No | buy | 15.68 | $0.998 | $15.65 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | sell | 30.69 | $0.510 | $15.65 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 31.76 | $0.995 | $31.6 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?No | buy | 10.51 | $0.999 | $10.5 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 12.07 | $0.994 | $12 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?No | buy | 9.16 | $0.983 | $9 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 5.2 | $0.962 | $5 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?No | buy | 40.08 | $0.998 | $40 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 3.58K | $0.994 | $3.56K | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 3.58K | $0.995 | $3.56K | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 659.31 | $0.991 | $653.38 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 520.2 | $0.989 | $514.48 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?No | sell | 33.53 | $0.997 | $33.43 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 1.28K | $0.994 | $1.27K | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | sell | 4.22 | $0.240 | $1.01 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 1.07K | $0.998 | $1.07K | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 19.05 | $0.999 | $19.03 | Oct 26, 2025 |