Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 35% or more? | No | 938 | $0.804 | $894.85 | +$140.62 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 883 | $0.860 | $759.38 | 15h ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.04K |
| $0.713 |
| $822.39 |
| +$80.38 |
 Will Christian Democrats (KD) win less than 5% of all valid votes? | No | 881.99 | $0.850 | $811.43 | +$61.74 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | No | 883 | $0.860 | $790.29 | +$30.91 |
| Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | No | 896 | $0.780 | $734.72 | +$35.94 |
 Will there be between 120m and 125m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? | No | 888.98 | $0.769 | $733.41 | +$50.03 |
 Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | No | 922.9 | $0.707 | $698.17 | +$45.53 |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 20%-25%? | No | 744.12 | $0.764 | $684.59 | +$116.34 |
 Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? | No | 683.36 | $0.866 | $667.3 | +$75.21 |
 Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes? | No | 1.17K | $0.650 | $658.79 | -$99.11 |
 Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | No | 792.37 | $0.728 | $602.2 | +$25.19 |
 Will Guilherme Derrite win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? | No | 690.66 | $0.752 | $600.87 | +$81.63 |
 Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 992.99 | $0.758 | $597.78 | -$154.91 |
 Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 1.04K | $0.722 | $589.95 | -$157.62 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico Senate election by 21% or more? | No | 820.59 | $0.735 | $586.72 | -$16.32 |
| Will AfD win at least 20% of all valid second votes? | No | 951.69 | $0.695 | $585.29 | -$75.74 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-05 House election by 10%-15%? | No | 657.83 | $0.830 | $582.18 | +$36.18 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August? | No | 839.24 | $0.742 | $574.88 | -$47.86 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 1.1K | $0.690 | $566.5 | -$192.5 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election by 25%-30%? | No | 650.24 | $0.803 | $565.71 | +$43.3 |
 Will Khathutshelo Rasilingwane be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni? | No | 620.72 | $0.651 | $558.34 | +$154.48 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | No | 1.13K | $0.664 | $519.34 | -$230.78 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-06 House election by 5%-15%? | No | 513.21 | $0.873 | $499.1 | +$50.92 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 15%-20%? | No | 563.11 | $0.847 | $487.09 | +$9.98 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 55%-60%? | No | 495.97 | $0.826 | $468.69 | +$59.1 |
| buy |
| 118.47 |
| $0.753 |
| $89.25 |
| 15h ago |
 Will Benedita da Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?No | buy | 219.05 | $0.776 | $170.06 | 15h ago |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 55%-60%?No | buy | 495.97 | $0.826 | $409.6 | 15h ago |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-06 House election by 5%-15%?No | buy | 513.21 | $0.873 | $448.18 | 2d ago |
| Will AfD win at least 20% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 888.36 | $0.694 | $616.7 | 2d ago |
 Will Democrats win exactly 11 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?No | buy | 276 | $0.837 | $231.14 | 2d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 35% or more?No | buy | 938 | $0.804 | $754.23 | 2d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-08 House election by 55% or more?No | buy | 92 | $0.795 | $73.18 | 2d ago |
 Will Trump meet with Mark Carney in September 2026?No | buy | 106.27 | $0.751 | $79.8 | 3d ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 20%-25%?No | buy | 744.12 | $0.764 | $568.25 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 1.1K | $0.690 | $759 | 3d ago |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,550,000 and 1,600,000?No | buy | 110 | $0.862 | $94.8 | 4d ago |
| Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No | buy | 896 | $0.780 | $698.78 | 4d ago |
| Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?No | buy | 922.9 | $0.707 | $652.64 | 4d ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-05 House election by 20%-25%?No | buy | 262 | $0.810 | $212.22 | 4d ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-05 House election by 10%-15%?No | buy | 657.83 | $0.830 | $546 | 4d ago |
| Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Yes | buy | 147.92 | $0.615 | $91.01 | 7d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-05 House election by 65%-70%?No | buy | 70 | $0.810 | $56.7 | 7d ago |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 1.04K | $0.722 | $747.57 | 7d ago |
 Will Democrats win exactly 11 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections?No | buy | 240.39 | $0.665 | $159.75 | 7d ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-05 House election by 9%-12%?No | buy | 501.92 | $0.826 | $414.76 | 8d ago |
 Will LPV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?No | buy | 70.19 | $0.760 | $53.34 | 8d ago |
| Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?No | buy | 792.37 | $0.728 | $577.01 | 8d ago |
 Will Democrats win 7 or more House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections?No | buy | 108.31 | $0.835 | $90.44 | 8d ago |
| Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 992.99 | $0.758 | $752.69 | 8d ago |
| Will there be between 120m and 125m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?No | buy | 888.98 | $0.769 | $683.38 | 8d ago |
 Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?No | buy | 114.26 | $0.854 | $97.62 | 14d ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 15%-20%?No | buy | 65 | $0.850 | $55.25 | 14d ago |
| Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 1.17K | $0.650 | $757.9 | 14d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?No | buy | 650.24 | $0.803 | $522.41 | 14d ago |
| Will Guilherme Derrite win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?No | buy | 690.66 | $0.752 | $519.24 | 15d ago |
 Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No | buy | 318.24 | $0.750 | $238.73 | 15d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico Senate election by 21% or more?No | sell | 200 | $0.700 | $140 | 15d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico Senate election by 21% or more?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.735 | $750.01 | 15d ago |
| Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?No | buy | 307.94 | $0.717 | $220.67 | 15d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 1.13K | $0.664 | $750.12 | 15d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | sell | 998 | $0.999 | $997 | 17d ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 15%-20%?No | buy | 498.11 | $0.847 | $421.86 | 17d ago |
| Will Texas have the closest Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 15.5 | $0.831 | $12.87 | 17d ago |
| Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?No | buy | 683.36 | $0.866 | $592.09 | 17d ago |
| Will Khathutshelo Rasilingwane be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?No | buy | 620.72 | $0.651 | $403.85 | 17d ago |
 Will Monique Taylor win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election?No | sell | 435 | $0.551 | $239.85 | 18d ago |
| Will Monique Taylor win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election?No | sell | 300 | $0.631 | $189.29 | 18d ago |
| Will Monique Taylor win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election?No | sell | 200 | $0.693 | $138.61 | 18d ago |
| Will Monique Taylor win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election?No | buy | 935 | $0.800 | $748 | 18d ago |
 Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 824.98 | $0.888 | $732.28 | 18d ago |
| Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 261 | $0.909 | $237.25 | 18d ago |
| Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 563.98 | $0.904 | $509.86 | 18d ago |
 Will the Left Party (V) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No | buy | 237.66 | $0.674 | $160.22 | 19d ago |