Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?Yes | sell | 1.3 | $0.958 | $1.25 | Jan 16, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 1.31 |
| $0.950 |
| $1.24 |
| Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Yes | buy | 9.79 | $0.995 | $9.74 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in December?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.973 | $1.05 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in December?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.961 | $1.04 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday over 20%?No | sell | 1.1 | $0.998 | $1.1 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday over 20%?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.969 | $1.07 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will St. Louis have a white Christmas?No | sell | 1 | $0.951 | $0.95 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will St. Louis have a white Christmas?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.41 | $0.797 | $1.12 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.42 | $0.975 | $1.38 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will turnout in the first round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be at least 90%?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.999 | $1.02 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?No | sell | 1.44 | $0.960 | $1.38 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.39 | $0.961 | $1.34 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.960 | $1.39 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.4 | $0.902 | $1.26 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.999 | $1.01 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?No | sell | 1.29 | $0.978 | $1.26 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?No | buy | 1.29 | $0.959 | $1.24 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 1.26 | $0.972 | $1.22 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Solana dip to $190 in October?Yes | buy | 3.47 | $0.340 | $1.18 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.956 | $1.21 | Sep 20, 2025 |
| Will Solana reach $300 in September?No | sell | 1.65 | $0.820 | $1.35 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Will Solana reach $300 in September?No | buy | 1.65 | $0.890 | $1.47 | Sep 4, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?No | sell | 1.57 | $0.995 | $1.56 | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?No | buy | 1.58 | $0.906 | $1.43 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August?No | sell | 1.31 | $0.957 | $1.25 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.870 | $1.14 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in July?No | sell | 1.72 | $0.700 | $1.2 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in July?No | buy | 1.73 | $0.700 | $1.21 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 1.71 | $0.820 | $1.4 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No | sell | 2.2 | $0.850 | $1.87 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No | buy | 2.21 | $0.870 | $1.92 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025?No | sell | 1.31 | $0.958 | $1.25 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 2?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.995 | $1.29 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Will the July 2025 unemployment rate be 4.1%?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.850 | $1.31 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will Iran declare war on Israel before July?No | sell | 0.48 | $0.993 | $0.48 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | sell | 1.75 | $0.540 | $0.95 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.800 | $1.4 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Will Iran declare war on Israel before July?No | sell | 0.71 | $0.987 | $0.7 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.950 | $1.25 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Will Iran declare war on Israel before July?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.920 | $1.1 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. McGeeChiesa | buy | 1.31 | $0.810 | $1.06 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Will Seattle Sounders FC win Group B at the FIFA Club World Cup?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.994 | $1.4 | Jun 7, 2025 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.880 | $1.51 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Will PSG win 1-0?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.910 | $1.13 | May 31, 2025 |
 NATO article 5 in 2025?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.930 | $1.01 | May 31, 2025 |
| NATO article 5 in 2025?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.940 | $1.03 | May 29, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?No | sell | 1.67 | $0.850 | $1.42 | May 29, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.850 | $1.42 | May 26, 2025 |