Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | No | 40 | $0.500 | $33.4 | +$13.4 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.240 | $3 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 20.5 |
| $0.244 |
| $5.64 |
| +$0.64 |
| Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by October 31, 2026? | No | 38.46 | $0.130 | $3.46 | -$1.54 |
 Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | No | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2.24 | +$0.24 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 21.98 | $0.227 | $2.2 | -$2.8 |
 SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? | No | 3.03 | $0.660 | $1.91 | -$0.09 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | No | 13 | $0.270 | $1.76 | -$1.76 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | No | 6.06 | $0.330 | $1.12 | -$0.88 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 1.85 | $0.540 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.080 | $0.94 | -$0.06 |
| buy |
| 14.29 |
| $0.210 |
| $3 |
| 1d ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?No | buy | 13 | $0.270 | $3.51 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?No | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | 2d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | 2d ago |
| SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.660 | $2 | 2d ago |
| Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | 2d ago |
| Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | 2d ago |
| Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | 2d ago |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | 2d ago |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 28.3 | $0.860 | $24.34 | 2d ago |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No | sell | 75.76 | $0.004 | $0.3 | 2d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 38.46 | $0.480 | $18.46 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?No | sell | 29.41 | $0.999 | $29.38 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No | buy | 8.47 | $0.118 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.065 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 23.08 | $0.130 | $3 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?No | buy | 13.7 | $0.073 | $1 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.510 | $15 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 28.3 | $0.530 | $15 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 12.19 | $0.730 | $8.9 | May 20, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 82.08 | $0.610 | $50.07 | May 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 69.76 | $0.820 | $57.2 | May 3, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No | sell | 28.84 | $0.780 | $22.5 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 16.94 | $0.890 | $15.08 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | sell | 5.55 | $0.920 | $5.11 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.360 | $15 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 69.77 | $0.430 | $30 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 26.13 | $0.306 | $8 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.420 | $6 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?No | sell | 9.09 | $0.960 | $8.73 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.540 | $3 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 7.5 | $0.400 | $3 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026No | sell | 17.08 | $0.807 | $13.79 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026?No | sell | 33.98 | $0.347 | $11.79 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.330 | $3 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.180 | $4 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?No | sell | 16.12 | $0.820 | $13.22 | Mar 26, 2026 |