Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 15.87 | $0.630 | $13.8 | +$3.8 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strike on Mexico by March 31?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.210 | $3 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 166.67 |
| $0.036 |
| $10 |
| +$4 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 21.74 | $0.046 | $3.51 | +$2.51 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2.72 | +$0.72 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 76.92 | $0.026 | $2.04 | +$0.04 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 2.04 | $0.979 | $2.04 | +$0.04 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 20 | $0.050 | $1.56 | +$0.56 |
| buy |
| 2.75K |
| $0.004 |
| $11 |
| Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Larger Margin of Victory: Mamdani vs Prop 50?Mamdani | sell | 20 | $0.724 | $14.48 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Larger Margin of Victory: Mamdani vs Prop 50?Mamdani | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.026 | $2 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 138.89 | $0.036 | $5 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.979 | $2 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.036 | $1 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.046 | $1 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Democratic sweep?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 California redistricting referendum passes?No | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will there be a 269-269 tie in Electoral College?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.048 | $2 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 2.0-3.0%?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will Nevada be the last state to be called by the AP?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 5-14Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.026 | $2 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.063 | $1.5 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.016 | $5 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4Yes | buy | 57.47 | $0.087 | $5 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Biden drops out of presidential race?No | buy | 45 | $0.280 | $12.6 | Jul 20, 2024 |
| Biden drops out of presidential race?No | buy | 100 | $0.170 | $17 | Jul 19, 2024 |