Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 55.99 | $0.893 | $50 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 81.97 |
| $0.610 |
| $50 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 52.46 | $0.985 | $51.67 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 52.47 | $0.953 | $50 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 6?Yes | buy | 20.99 | $0.953 | $20 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 6?Yes | buy | 11.57 | $0.346 | $4 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 6?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will Song Ki-sub win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?No | buy | 25.03 | $0.999 | $25 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 26.04 | $0.950 | $24.74 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 26.04 | $0.960 | $25 | May 20, 2026 |
 FDA approves Retatrutide this year?No | sell | 2.59 | $0.690 | $1.79 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.12 | $0.988 | $2.09 | May 20, 2026 |
 Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20 | May 17, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 21.05 | $0.946 | $19.91 | May 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 21.05 | $0.950 | $20 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | sell | 21.09 | $0.971 | $20.48 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 21.1 | $0.948 | $20 | May 13, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | buy | 7 | $0.989 | $6.92 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Hawks vs. KnicksHawks | buy | 25.87 | $0.300 | $7.76 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?No | buy | 4.05 | $0.987 | $4 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 4.04 | $0.990 | $4 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | buy | 3.28 | $0.914 | $3 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | buy | 2.25 | $0.889 | $2 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.1 | $0.954 | $2 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.12 | $0.942 | $2 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on January 30?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.990 | $3 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| FDA approves Retatrutide this year?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2 | Jan 30, 2026 |