Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?Yes | buy | 401.92 | $0.264 | $105.95 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.86K |
| $0.026 |
| $48.12 |
| Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.097 | $100 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 454.54 | $0.070 | $31.82 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 454.55 | $0.220 | $100 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Jonathan Taylor win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?Yes | sell | 2.16K | $0.002 | $4.32 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Jordan Chiles win Dancing with the Stars season 34?Yes | buy | 25.63 | $0.096 | $2.46 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will Alix Earle win Dancing with the Stars season 34?Yes | buy | 134.15 | $0.373 | $50 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will Jonathan Taylor win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?Yes | sell | 9.33 | $0.050 | $0.47 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will Jonathan Taylor win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.100 | $100 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Jonathan Taylor win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.096 | $100 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?Yes | buy | 294.12 | $0.170 | $50 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?Yes | buy | 727.12 | $0.190 | $137.93 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?Yes | buy | 189.56 | $0.160 | $30.33 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser by October 31?No | buy | 164.13 | $0.671 | $110.1 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?No | sell | 266.86 | $0.413 | $110.1 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser by October 31?No | buy | 186.11 | $0.560 | $104.22 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser by October 31?No | buy | 356.29 | $0.560 | $199.52 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | sell | 448.25 | $0.289 | $129.35 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?No | buy | 266.86 | $0.574 | $153.25 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | buy | 212.88 | $0.240 | $51.09 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 15?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.511 | $51.09 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | buy | 235.38 | $0.240 | $56.49 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 15?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 15?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 96.49 | $0.519 | $50.07 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 806.45 | $0.062 | $50 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Will Apple launch a Glasses/Headset on September 9?Yes | buy | 612.57 | $0.196 | $120.25 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 877.7 | $0.137 | $120.24 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 877.7 | $0.174 | $152.72 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 615.38 | $0.150 | $92.31 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | sell | 171.42 | $0.350 | $60 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | buy | 171.43 | $0.210 | $36 | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 615.38 | $0.260 | $160 | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during July Press Conference?No | buy | 904.8 | $0.025 | $22.62 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.39K | $0.048 | $210.8 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?Yes | buy | 941.67 | $0.360 | $339 | Aug 18, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" during Elon interview?Yes | buy | 155.72 | $0.610 | $94.99 | Aug 12, 2024 |
 Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?Girl | sell | 279.38 | $0.340 | $94.99 | Aug 12, 2024 |
| Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?Girl | buy | 279.39 | $0.360 | $100.58 | Aug 12, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" during Elon interview?Yes | buy | 249.46 | $0.601 | $150 | Aug 12, 2024 |
 Iran military response by Monday?No | sell | 272.37 | $0.920 | $250.58 | Aug 12, 2024 |
| Iran military response by Monday?No | buy | 272.37 | $0.270 | $73.54 | Aug 1, 2024 |
 UFC 304: Leon Edwards vs. Belal MuhammadMuhammad | buy | 183.39 | $0.310 | $56.85 | Jul 27, 2024 |
 Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?Yes | sell | 946.53 | $0.905 | $856.86 | Jul 27, 2024 |
| Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?Yes | buy | 946.54 | $0.260 | $246.1 | Jul 25, 2024 |