Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 44.61 | $0.067 | $5.91 | +$2.91 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | sell | 12.65 | $0.290 | $3.67 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Yes |
| 18.18 |
| $0.110 |
| $3.21 |
| +$1.21 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 33.13 | $0.181 | $2.52 | -$3.48 |
 Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand? | Yes | 23.9 | $0.084 | $2.19 | +$0.19 |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 27.78 | $0.180 | $1.81 | -$3.19 |
 Will voter turnout be 84% or higher in the 2026 New Zealand general election? | Yes | 7.25 | $0.138 | $0.27 | -$0.73 |
| Will voter turnout be between 82% and 84% in the 2026 New Zealand general election? | Yes | 9.36 | $0.107 | $0.1 | -$0.9 |
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes| buy |
| 5.67 |
| $0.353 |
| $2 |
| Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand?Yes | buy | 23.9 | $0.084 | $2 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 12.66 | $0.158 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes | sell | 12.9 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 6.56 | $0.457 | $3 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 6.34 | $0.473 | $3 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Transgender" during Speech to the Nation?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Israel" or "Israeli" during Speech to the Nation?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "World Cup" during Speech to the Nation?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 15.27 | $0.131 | $2 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 5.03 | $0.398 | $2 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 4.99 | $0.401 | $2 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 20.79 | $0.481 | $10 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.051 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 8.13 | $0.123 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will voter turnout be between 82% and 84% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?Yes | buy | 9.36 | $0.107 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will voter turnout be 84% or higher in the 2026 New Zealand general election?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.138 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 4.64 | $0.390 | $1.81 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.090 | $2 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 2.99 | $0.670 | $2 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.720 | $3 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by June 30?Yes | buy | 31.45 | $0.060 | $1.89 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.260 | $4 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the April decision?Yes | buy | 33.89 | $0.089 | $3 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.64 | $0.220 | $3 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 61.22 | $0.049 | $3 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the February decision?Yes | buy | 206.3 | $0.010 | $2 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.120 | $2 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 363.64 | $0.011 | $4 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.090 | $3 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.410 | $10 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Brown and MIT shooters confirmed to be same person?Yes | sell | 6.89 | $0.952 | $6.56 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Brown and MIT shooters confirmed to be same person?Yes | buy | 6.9 | $0.290 | $2 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will CJ McCollum be traded this season?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | buy | 9.35 | $0.214 | $2 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.88 | $0.410 | $2 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberNo | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Dec 18, 2025 |