Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 430 | $0.003 | $1.29 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 260.53 |
| $0.979 |
| $255.06 |
| Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will Mistral have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?No | sell | 190 | $0.997 | $189.43 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will Mistral have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 190 | $0.999 | $189.81 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?No | buy | 530.11 | $0.988 | $523.64 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 420.14 | $0.002 | $1.02 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 520 | $0.999 | $519.48 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?Yes | buy | 340 | $0.008 | $2.72 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 23?No | buy | 370 | $0.999 | $369.63 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Ximena Rincón come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 432.66 | $0.007 | $2.94 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 240 | $0.990 | $237.6 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in October 2025?Yes | buy | 520 | $0.008 | $4.16 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will 'The Fate of Ophelia' be the highest ranked song from Taylor Swift’s new album on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18?Yes | buy | 340.36 | $0.994 | $338.3 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?No | sell | 210 | $0.998 | $209.58 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?No | buy | 210 | $0.999 | $209.79 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Chow Hang‑tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 390.38 | $0.996 | $388.83 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?No | buy | 400 | $0.999 | $399.6 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | sell | 237.47 | $0.996 | $236.52 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will Tadej Pogacar win the Tour de France 2025?No | buy | 300.58 | $0.010 | $3 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Will Marian Vanghelie be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | sell | 260 | $0.998 | $259.48 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will Lautaro Martínez win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 330 | $0.998 | $329.34 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 25% and 30%?No | sell | 440.22 | $0.997 | $438.9 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 25% and 30%?No | buy | 440.23 | $0.997 | $439.12 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | sell | 250 | $0.999 | $249.75 | Jun 15, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 110–124 times May 30–June 6?Yes | buy | 454.29 | $0.009 | $4 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Will Robert Lewandowski win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 170 | $0.993 | $168.81 | May 24, 2025 |
 Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?Yes | buy | 430 | $0.999 | $429.57 | May 23, 2025 |
 Will another driver finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?No | sell | 250 | $0.996 | $249 | May 23, 2025 |
 Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 350 | $0.993 | $347.55 | May 22, 2025 |
 Will Yuki Tsunoda be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 220 | $0.993 | $218.46 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will Justin Pioppi win Survivor 48?No | sell | 33.29 | $0.995 | $33.12 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will there not be a new Pope in 2025?No | sell | 290 | $0.996 | $288.84 | May 2, 2025 |
 Will STAN win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 2.08K | $0.993 | $2.07K | May 1, 2025 |
| Will STAN win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 2.08K | $0.995 | $2.07K | May 1, 2025 |
 Will Lazio win the Serie A?No | buy | 1.84K | $0.999 | $1.84K | Apr 27, 2025 |
 Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 1.79K | $0.998 | $1.79K | Apr 27, 2025 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 1.79K | $0.998 | $1.79K | Apr 26, 2025 |
 Will Slovenia win Eurovision 2025?No | sell | 1.82K | $0.997 | $1.81K | Apr 22, 2025 |
| Will Slovenia win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 1.82K | $0.998 | $1.82K | Apr 22, 2025 |
 Will Malta win Eurovision 2025?No | sell | 1.99K | $0.993 | $1.98K | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Will Malta win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 1.99K | $0.994 | $1.98K | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Will another party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?No | sell | 1.98K | $0.998 | $1.98K | Apr 18, 2025 |
| Will another party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?No | buy | 1.98K | $0.999 | $1.98K | Apr 18, 2025 |