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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 15 | $0.081 | $8.88 | +$7.67 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | 4d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 20 |
| $0.140 |
| $7.9 |
| +$5.1 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 303.24 | $0.020 | $5.91 | -$0.09 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30? | No | 20 | $0.068 | $3.62 | +$2.27 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 20 | $0.179 | $3.37 | -$0.21 |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30? | Yes | 20 | $0.060 | $3.1 | +$1.9 |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 20 | $0.150 | $1.7 | -$1.3 |
 Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 7 | $0.110 | $1.69 | +$0.92 |
 Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31? | Yes | 20 | $0.080 | $1.6 | $0 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1.57 | +$0.57 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 10 | $0.197 | $1.46 | -$0.52 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 10 | $0.165 | $1.45 | -$0.21 |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.150 | $1.35 | -$0.15 |
 FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 14.4 | $0.050 | $1.22 | +$0.5 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 40 | $0.029 | $1.2 | +$0.04 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by October 31? | No | 40 | $0.022 | $1.14 | +$0.25 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.070 | $1.1 | -$0.3 |
 Will Jeff Knoll win the 2026 Oakville mayoral election? | Yes | 29.99 | $0.038 | $1.06 | -$0.08 |
 Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 50 | $0.024 | $1.05 | -$0.15 |
 Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 200 | $0.006 | $1 | -$0.2 |
 Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.060 | $1 | -$0.2 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 50 | $0.022 | $0.98 | -$0.12 |
 Will Perplexity’s market cap be greater than $100B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 20 | $0.055 | $0.89 | -$0.21 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 5.56 | $0.180 | $0.89 | -$0.11 |
| Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 30 | $0.040 | $0.87 | -$0.33 |
| buy |
| 16.83 |
| $0.026 |
| $0.44 |
| 4d ago |
 Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.040 | $1.2 | 7d ago |
 Will Kayleigh McEnany be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.099 | $0.99 | 7d ago |
 Will Barbora Krejcikova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.012 | $1.08 | 10d ago |
| Will Linda Noskova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes | buy | 9.3 | $0.027 | $0.25 | 10d ago |
| Will Karolina Muchova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.034 | $1.01 | 10d ago |
| Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.080 | $1.6 | 10d ago |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | 10d ago |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | 10d ago |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | 10d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | 11d ago |
 Will Sean O'Meara win the 2026 Oakville mayoral election?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.090 | $1.71 | 11d ago |
| Will Jeff Knoll win the 2026 Oakville mayoral election?Yes | buy | 29.99 | $0.038 | $1.14 | 11d ago |
| Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.040 | $1.2 | 12d ago |
| Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.024 | $1.2 | 12d ago |
 Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.180 | $3.6 | 20d ago |
| Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.180 | $1.8 | 20d ago |
| Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.820 | $4.1 | 20d ago |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50.15 | $0.009 | $0.47 | 20d ago |
 Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on August 19?Down | sell | 12 | $0.928 | $11.13 | 20d ago |
| Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.780 | $3.9 | 20d ago |
| Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on August 19?Down | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | 21d ago |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | 21d ago |
 Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 60.71 | $0.016 | $1 | 21d ago |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 63.13 | $0.016 | $1 | 21d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 18?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.030 | $0.21 | 24d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 18?Yes | buy | 5.51 | $0.020 | $0.11 | 24d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 17?Yes | buy | 28.99 | $0.030 | $0.87 | 24d ago |
 Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?No | sell | 6.16 | $0.235 | $1.45 | 24d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 16?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.110 | $1.76 | 24d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 16?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.100 | $0.5 | 24d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 16?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.030 | $1.02 | 24d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 16?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.010 | $0.1 | 24d ago |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.179 | $3.58 | 24d ago |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.165 | $1.65 | 24d ago |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.022 | $1.1 | 24d ago |
| Cincinnati Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Matteo BerrettiniMatteo Berrettini | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | 24d ago |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 226.32 | $0.022 | $5 | 24d ago |
| Cincinnati Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alejandro TabiloJan-Lennard Struff | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | 24d ago |
 Cincinnati Open: Linda Noskova vs Katie BoulterKatie Boulter | buy | 24.39 | $0.041 | $1 | 24d ago |
| Cincinnati Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Magdalena FrechJelena Ostapenko | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | 24d ago |
| Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?No | sell | 5.91 | $0.219 | $1.29 | 24d ago |
| Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Mariano NavoneMariano Navone | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | 24d ago |
| Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin CilicMarin Cilic | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | 25d ago |
| Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin CilicMarin Cilic | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | 25d ago |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.059 | $0.89 | 25d ago |
| Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | 25d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | 25d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | 25d ago |