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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Pudgy Penguins floor price reach 10 ETH before 2027? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.720 | $0.63 | -$5.37 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 6.94 | $0.200 | $1.39 | 28d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 6.02 |
| $0.660 |
| $3.97 |
| 28d ago |
 Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?No | sell | 5.68 | $0.900 | $5.11 | 28d ago |
 Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026?Yes | sell | 10.16 | $0.420 | $4.27 | 28d ago |
| Will Pudgy Penguins floor price reach 10 ETH before 2027?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.720 | $6 | May 14, 2026 |
 Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.090 | $6 | May 14, 2026 |
| Japan recession in 2026?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026?Yes | buy | 10.17 | $0.590 | $6 | May 14, 2026 |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 5.24 | $0.955 | $5 | May 14, 2026 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?Yes | buy | 14.86 | $0.740 | $11 | May 14, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Solana reach $100 in May?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | May 14, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.930 | $18.6 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 8.77 | $0.290 | $2.54 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025?Yes | sell | 67.56 | $0.035 | $2.36 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.350 | $7 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $122,000 October 13-19?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.560 | $10 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025?Yes | buy | 67.57 | $0.074 | $5 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 achieve a successful splashdown?Yes | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 Superheavy booster?Yes | buy | 228.18 | $0.022 | $5 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by October 15?Yes | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | sell | 129.87 | $0.100 | $12.99 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?Yes | sell | 9.25 | $0.004 | $0.04 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?Yes | sell | 20.54 | $0.752 | $15.45 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Zcash flip Monero by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?Yes | buy | 20.54 | $0.243 | $5 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Base airdrop in Q3 2025?Yes | buy | 404.21 | $0.012 | $5 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Jumper airdrop in Q3 2025?Yes | buy | 152.67 | $0.013 | $2 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Rainbow airdrop in Q3 2025?Yes | buy | 9.17 | $0.218 | $2 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Rabby airdrop in Q3 2025?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?Yes | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?Yes | buy | 22.39 | $0.670 | $15 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.051 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Bull run: SeptemberYes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?Yes | buy | 99.9 | $0.420 | $41.96 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 achieve a sucessful splashdown?Yes | buy | 10.56 | $0.840 | $8.87 | Apr 30, 2025 |
| US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | buy | 129.87 | $0.770 | $100 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31?Yes | sell | 66.08 | $0.015 | $0.99 | Mar 7, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?Yes | sell | 90.9 | $0.004 | $0.36 | Mar 7, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31?Yes | sell | 52.63 | $0.038 | $2 | Mar 7, 2025 |
| US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | sell | 10.03 | $0.760 | $7.62 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?No | sell | 21.73 | $0.971 | $21.1 | Mar 7, 2025 |
| US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | buy | 10.04 | $0.770 | $7.73 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Tesla bot at Trump inauguration?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?No | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Dec 24, 2024 |