Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: Other | No | 58.06 | $0.999 | $57.85 | -$0.15 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 7.16 | $0.978 | $7 | May 13, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 6.12 |
| $0.980 |
| $6 |
| May 13, 2026 |
 Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?No | buy | 6.12 | $0.981 | $6 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Up Only podcast released by November 30?No | buy | 7.16 | $0.978 | $7 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Yes | buy | 6.2 | $0.967 | $6 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Larger Margin of Victory: Virginia or New Jersey Governor?Virginia | buy | 6.06 | $0.990 | $6 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Larger Margin of Victory: Mamdani vs Prop 50?Mamdani | buy | 7.02 | $0.997 | $7 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will CarMax (KMX) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?No | buy | 9.01 | $0.999 | $9 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 9.02 | $0.887 | $8 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran by October 31?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 25.02K | $0.992 | $24.82K | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 25.02K | $0.993 | $24.84K | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Rodynske by September 30?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.940 | $6 | Sep 20, 2025 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: OtherNo | buy | 58.06 | $0.999 | $58 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 7.53 | $0.930 | $7 | Aug 31, 2025 |
 US x Iran ceasefire before August?No | buy | 8.04 | $0.995 | $8 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 Will turnout be between 900000 and 1000000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Will "Smurfs" Rotten Tomatoes score be 70 or higher?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Will Qatar gift Trump a new Air Force One in May?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.979 | $5 | May 31, 2025 |
 Mahmoud Khalil released from custody before May?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 U.S. withdraws from Syria before July?No | buy | 4.12 | $0.970 | $4 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Megaquake before May?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Siversk before May?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 10-year Treasury yield below 4% before April?No | buy | 7.03 | $0.996 | $7 | Mar 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump create 'gold card' citizenship before April?No | buy | 4.04 | $0.989 | $4 | Mar 29, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum Foundation be liquidated in March?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.999 | $6 | Mar 29, 2025 |
 FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 8.25 | $0.970 | $8 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Tel Aviv bus bomber arrested by Friday?No | buy | 5.17 | $0.968 | $5 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Pudgy Penguin floor price above 25 eth on Friday?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Will Manchester City lead the EPL in points at midway point?No | buy | 7.02 | $0.997 | $7 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Solana above $225 on December 20?No | buy | 6.06 | $0.990 | $6 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Will Binance delist Pnut by Friday?No | buy | 7.06 | $0.992 | $7 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Will Mircea Geoană win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.997 | $6 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Will Micheal Martin be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?Yes | buy | 7.37 | $0.950 | $7 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Russian Ruble ₽110 to $1 USD by December 20?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | Dec 19, 2024 |
| Pudgy Penguin floor price above 25 eth on Friday?No | buy | 7.03 | $0.996 | $7 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Runway closures due to Mystery Drones by Friday?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.989 | $3 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Mystery drones shot down by Friday?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.994 | $7 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. place second in any state?No | buy | 8.02 | $0.997 | $8 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?Yes | buy | 9.03 | $0.997 | $9 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Will Wisconsin be the closest state?Yes | buy | 9.02 | $0.998 | $9 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?Yes | buy | 8.03 | $0.996 | $8 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win Vermont by the largest margin?Yes | buy | 8.04 | $0.995 | $8 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?Yes | buy | 6.2 | $0.968 | $6 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Will Jill Stein get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate?Yes | sell | 8.04 | $0.990 | $7.96 | Dec 16, 2024 |
| Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?Yes | sell | 12.01 | $0.994 | $11.94 | Dec 16, 2024 |
| Will Wisconsin be the closest state?Yes | sell | 14.02 | $0.993 | $13.92 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 2024 November hottest on record?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.994 | $7 | Dec 8, 2024 |
| Will the November 2024 temperature increase be less than 1.20°C?No | buy | 8.02 | $0.997 | $8 | Dec 8, 2024 |