Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 174.07 | $0.440 | $147.96 | +$71.34 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | buy | 80 | $0.910 | $72.8 | 55m ago |
|
| No |
| 163.06 |
| $0.764 |
| $128 |
| +$3.48 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 119.85 | $0.846 | $108.46 | +$7.08 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | No | 110 | $0.899 | $100.1 | +$1.2 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 91.53 | $0.710 | $90.06 | +$25.06 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 75.32 | $0.757 | $71.17 | +$14.17 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 69.19 | $0.737 | $58.95 | +$7.95 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? | Yes | 2.14K | $0.043 | $42.86 | -$49.19 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 44.94 | $0.890 | $42.47 | +$2.47 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 46.77 | $0.766 | $39.52 | +$3.68 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.610 | $34.25 | +$3.75 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 84.22 | $0.436 | $34.11 | -$2.59 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 34.12 | $0.806 | $30.54 | +$3.03 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | No | 29.43 | $0.850 | $28.99 | +$3.99 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | No | 27.33 | $0.905 | $25.69 | +$0.95 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | Yes | 25 | $0.556 | $15.13 | +$1.23 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 16.9 | $0.804 | $14.12 | +$0.52 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 6.29 | $0.954 | $6.1 | +$0.1 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 6.22 | $0.900 | $5.76 | +$0.16 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.830 |
| $83 |
| 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.810 | $24.3 | 9d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | 9d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.870 | $26.1 | 9d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.610 | $30.5 | 9d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.390 | $11.7 | 9d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 43.04 | $0.800 | $34.43 | 13d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 86.08 | $0.800 | $68.86 | 13d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 69.83 | $0.910 | $63.55 | 13d ago |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 34.11 | $0.850 | $28.99 | 13d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.74 | $0.465 | $5 | 13d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.560 | $11.2 | 16d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?No | sell | 45 | $0.559 | $25.17 | 17d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.003 | $1.05 | 18d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.920 | $27.6 | 18d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?Yes | buy | 377.6 | $0.026 | $10 | 21d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.995 | $9.95 | 21d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | 23d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 16.85 | $0.890 | $15 | 23d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?No | buy | 30.3 | $0.660 | $20 | 23d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 28 | $0.077 | $2.16 | 24d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20 | 24d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | 24d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | 25d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.250 | $7 | 28d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.730 | $7.3 | 28d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | 28d ago |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | sell | 21 | $0.930 | $19.53 | 28d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 75.76 | $0.660 | $50 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 24.69 | $0.810 | $20 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No | buy | 21.71 | $0.921 | $20 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 144.06 | $0.320 | $46.1 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 75.76 | $0.330 | $25 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.320 | $0.32 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 8.7 | $0.575 | $5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 13.07 | $0.765 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 12.85 | $0.778 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 46.98 | $0.851 | $40 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 105.26 | $0.380 | $40 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 109.34 | $0.999 | $109.23 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 108.11 | $0.370 | $40 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 24.69 | $0.810 | $20 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 32.61 | $0.920 | $30 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 44.3 | $0.880 | $38.98 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10 | Jul 28, 2026 |