Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 6 | $0.490 | $3.99 | +$1.05 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 10+ times during remarks at the Pentagon?No | sell | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | 17h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 6.39 |
| $0.424 |
| $3.16 |
| +$0.45 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? | Yes | 10.2 | $0.270 | $2.5 | -$0.26 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 11.58 | $0.344 | $2.14 | -$1.84 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 2.3 | $0.516 | $1.07 | -$0.12 |
 Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? | Yes | 6 | $0.380 | $0.78 | -$1.5 |
| Will Trump say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 10+ times during remarks at the Pentagon? | No | 1 | $0.520 | $0.53 | +$0.01 |
| Will Trump's remarks not air? | Yes | 65 | $0.008 | $0.46 | -$0.07 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | Yes | 10.49 | $0.055 | $0.42 | -$0.16 |
| Will Trump's remarks not air? | Yes | 20 | $0.012 | $0.23 | -$0.01 |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 1.2 | $0.830 | $0.1 | -$0.9 |
| sell |
| 1.4 |
| $0.280 |
| $0.39 |
| 22h ago |
| Will Trump's remarks not air?Yes | sell | 49.99 | $0.003 | $0.16 | 1d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 8.7 | $0.470 | $4.09 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump say "Save America Act" during remarks at Steel Across America?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.080 | $0.48 | 3d ago |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.4 | $0.560 | $3.58 | 4d ago |
| Will Trump's remarks not air?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.015 | $0.3 | 4d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?Yes | sell | 5.1 | $0.400 | $2.04 | 5d ago |
| Will Trump say "Democrat" or "Dumocrat" or "Dumbocrat" 25+ times during RNC Convention?Yes | sell | 5.1 | $0.570 | $2.91 | 5d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Will Trump say "Vegan" during RNC Convention?Yes | sell | 5.5 | $0.200 | $1.1 | 5d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | sell | 5.05 | $0.160 | $0.81 | 5d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | sell | 5.05 | $0.190 | $0.96 | 6d ago |
 Over $5M committed to the Ethos public sale?Yes | sell | 5.1 | $0.420 | $2.14 | 6d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | 6d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.55 | $0.470 | $1.2 | 6d ago |
 Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?Yes | sell | 5.1 | $0.284 | $1.45 | 8d ago |
 Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.1 | $0.041 | $0.21 | 9d ago |
| Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.1 | $0.106 | $0.54 | 9d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.015 | $0.08 | 10d ago |
 Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.1 | $0.220 | $1.12 | 10d ago |
 Will Trump say "Oil," "Gas," or "Gasoline" during remarks at NASA?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.240 | $1.2 | 12d ago |
| Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during remarks at NASA?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.160 | $0.16 | 12d ago |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during remarks at NASA?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.580 | $0.58 | 12d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.420 | $2.52 | 13d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | 14d ago |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.040 | $0.2 | 15d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | 15d ago |
| Will Trump's remarks not air?Yes | buy | 58.59 | $0.012 | $0.7 | 15d ago |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | 16d ago |
 US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?No | sell | 5.1 | $0.120 | $0.61 | 16d ago |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?No | sell | 5.1 | $0.110 | $0.56 | 17d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.330 | $1.98 | 17d ago |
 Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?No | sell | 2.6 | $0.300 | $0.78 | 19d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 11.08 | $0.310 | $3.43 | 20d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.360 | $2.16 | 20d ago |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?No | sell | 5.99 | $0.161 | $0.96 | 21d ago |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?No | sell | 5.89 | $0.178 | $1.05 | 22d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 3.26 | $0.114 | $0.37 | 23d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 3.27 | $0.306 | $1 | 23d ago |
 Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.1 | $0.110 | $0.56 | 25d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | 27d ago |
 Will Russia target Kyiv by August 10, 2026?No | sell | 5.18 | $0.050 | $0.26 | 29d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv by August 10, 2026?No | buy | 5.18 | $0.110 | $0.57 | 29d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | sell | 5.1 | $0.680 | $3.47 | 29d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?No | sell | 3.93 | $0.930 | $3.65 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.430 | $2.19 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | sell | 5.1 | $0.390 | $1.99 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Trump" during Friday roundtable?Yes | sell | 1.35 | $0.500 | $0.68 | Aug 7, 2026 |