Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Yes | 1.44K | $0.174 | $1.44 | -$248.56 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?Yes | buy | 63.47 | $0.750 | $47.6 | Mar 1, 2026 |
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Raw-Wasabi is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #102,204 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows +$685.79 observed lifetime PnL, 29 distinct markets, 20 resolved positions, a 90.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0xb52f6fc54ee09624a471c7869d4a154062e2fbfd
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| sell |
| 212.7 |
| $0.224 |
| $47.61 |
| Mar 1, 2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?Yes | buy | 368.8 | $0.697 | $257.12 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 272.42 | $0.944 | $257.12 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 243.77 | $0.804 | $195.94 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 272.42 | $0.918 | $250 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No | sell | 158.6 | $0.727 | $115.29 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes | buy | 1.44K | $0.174 | $250 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Yes | sell | 403.03 | $0.724 | $291.59 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 367.72 | $0.786 | $289.05 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?Yes | buy | 378.83 | $0.570 | $215.8 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by February 28?Yes | buy | 683.35 | $0.439 | $300 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| GPT-5.3 released by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 546.07 | $0.183 | $100 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| GPT-5.3 released by February 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 125.72 | $0.795 | $100 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?Yes | buy | 839.39 | $0.953 | $800 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 2.31K | $0.012 | $26.87 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 367.73 | $0.653 | $240 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 362.91 | $0.827 | $300 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No | buy | 158.6 | $0.623 | $98.83 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Yes | buy | 403.03 | $0.496 | $200 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 2.31K | $0.022 | $50 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.045 | $50 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?Yes | buy | 212.71 | $0.235 | $50 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | buy | 169.56 | $0.295 | $50 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will any AI reach $50k in Alpha Arena Season 1.5 AI trading competition?Yes | buy | 1.88K | $0.080 | $150 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?No | sell | 503 | $0.821 | $413.05 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?No | sell | 1.06K | $0.770 | $814.41 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 338.12 | $0.887 | $300 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?Yes | buy | 309.3 | $0.905 | $280 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?No | buy | 503 | $0.596 | $300 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?No | buy | 1.06K | $0.315 | $333 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI’s GPT 5 lose the NOF1.ai competition?Yes | sell | 472.01 | $0.910 | $429.53 | Nov 2, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?Yes | sell | 1.23K | $0.891 | $1.1K | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI’s GPT 5 lose the NOF1.ai competition?Yes | buy | 472.02 | $0.562 | $265.49 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?Yes | buy | 1.23K | $0.325 | $400 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?Yes | sell | 160.78 | $0.976 | $156.94 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?Yes | sell | 525.14 | $0.968 | $508.56 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 525.14 | $0.952 | $500 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?Yes | buy | 160.78 | $0.932 | $149.85 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Grok 5 released by December 31?No | sell | 267.78 | $0.575 | $153.89 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Will any AI score ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 by November 3?No | sell | 255.96 | $0.990 | $253.5 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will any AI score ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 by November 3?No | buy | 255.97 | $0.900 | $230.27 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 242.22 | $0.826 | $200 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Grok 5 released by December 31?No | buy | 267.78 | $0.373 | $100 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | sell | 580.87 | $0.913 | $530.26 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 580.87 | $0.688 | $399.91 | Aug 14, 2025 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.