Analytics
Allow Google Analytics cookies to measure visits, navigation, completed signups and checkout starts on our website and app? Analytics identifiers last up to 180 days. Account details, searches, wallet addresses and payment details are excluded. Your choice is optional and you can change it anytime.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | Yes | 4.76 | $0.210 | $2.12 | +$1.12 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | 2h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 2.22 |
| $0.450 |
| $1.86 |
| +$0.86 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | No | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1.35 | +$0.35 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | Yes | 1.52 | $0.660 | $0.98 | -$0.02 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | No | 1.32 | $0.760 | $0.87 | -$0.13 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 2.13 | $0.470 | $0.48 | -$0.52 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.17 | $0.460 | $0.47 | -$0.53 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | Yes | 1.96 | $0.510 | $0.44 | -$0.56 |
| buy |
| 1.37 |
| $0.730 |
| $1 |
| 13h ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | 4d ago |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 7 2026?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | 5d ago |
 Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | 6d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | 6d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | 6d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | 22d ago |
 Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?No | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | 23d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Aug 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Transgender" during remarks in New York?No | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13?Down | buy | 5.26 | $0.380 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $517.50 Week of August 10 2026?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.85 | $0.342 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 Week of August 3 2026?No | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026?No | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.650 | $1.98 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of July 27 2026?No | buy | 3.5 | $0.440 | $1.54 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 3.41 | $0.590 | $2.01 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.510 | $1.56 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.760 | $1.54 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes | buy | 2.84 | $0.690 | $1.96 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 1.99 | $0.502 | $1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 7.81 | $0.256 | $2 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.660 | $2.01 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Restrictive" during July Press Conference?No | buy | 3 | $0.370 | $1.11 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.760 | $1.54 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.4 | $0.450 | $1.53 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Visa (V) Q2 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 8.5%-9.5%?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.410 | $1.23 | Jul 22, 2026 |