Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 86.42 | $0.401 | $50.55 | +$15.92 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 86.42 | $0.401 | $34.63 | 19d ago |
| Yes |
| 237.61 |
| $0.631 |
| $32.08 |
| -$117.92 |
 Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 78.79 | $0.165 | $21.12 | +$8.12 |
 Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 80 | $0.237 | $5.6 | -$13.4 |
Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes| buy |
| 80 |
| $0.237 |
| $19 |
| 19d ago |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 78.79 | $0.165 | $13 | 19d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 237.61 | $0.631 | $150 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No | buy | 218.57 | $0.805 | $176 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?Yes | buy | 105 | $0.333 | $35 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m?Yes | buy | 112.49 | $0.533 | $60 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will "ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?Yes | buy | 107.69 | $0.121 | $13 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will "HOPE by NA Hong-jin" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?Yes | buy | 110.66 | $0.199 | $22 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will "SHEEP IN THE BOX by KORE-EDA Hirokazu" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?Yes | buy | 130.32 | $0.269 | $35 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?No | buy | 210.94 | $0.640 | $135 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?No | sell | 205.33 | $0.921 | $189.19 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?No | buy | 205.33 | $0.750 | $154 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?Yes | buy | 190.49 | $0.676 | $128.73 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will "Sinners" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?Yes | buy | 163.92 | $0.137 | $22.45 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will "Sinners" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?Yes | buy | 181.02 | $0.387 | $70 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.420 | $42 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 204.69 | $0.318 | $65 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?Yes | buy | 208.78 | $0.715 | $149.22 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryYes | buy | 349.02 | $0.510 | $178 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.850 | $170 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.610 | $6.1 | Dec 19, 2025 |