Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.988 | $1.5 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 135.86 |
| $0.993 |
| $134.91 |
| Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?No | buy | 136.56 | $0.998 | $136.28 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast's latest video get between 64 and 65 million views on day 4?No | buy | 136.31 | $0.997 | $135.9 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?No | buy | 135.12 | $0.999 | $134.99 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 129.29 | $0.993 | $128.32 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Solana reach $110 March 23-29?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $2,500 March 23-29?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?No | buy | 126.26 | $0.998 | $126 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No | buy | 128.04 | $0.999 | $127.91 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?No | buy | 127.91 | $0.977 | $124.94 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 14?No | buy | 4.09 | $0.979 | $4 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 120.6 | $0.995 | $120 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 3.48 | $0.976 | $3.4 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No | buy | 122.12 | $0.999 | $122 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.998 | $3 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No | buy | 125.38 | $0.997 | $125 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Solana reach $90 in March?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in March?Yes | buy | 3.48 | $0.690 | $2.4 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No | buy | 123.18 | $0.974 | $120 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 124.46 | $0.999 | $124.34 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?No | buy | 124.25 | $0.998 | $124 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 124.1 | $0.998 | $123.85 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 122.29 | $0.998 | $122.05 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 122.05 | $0.990 | $120.83 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 23, 2026?No | buy | 120.6 | $0.995 | $120 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 1.55 | $0.966 | $1.5 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?No | buy | 120.12 | $0.999 | $120 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?No | buy | 121.6 | $0.993 | $120.75 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?No | buy | 10.38 | $0.703 | $7.3 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?No | buy | 110.35 | $0.997 | $110 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 110-119 tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026?No | buy | 116.7 | $0.994 | $116 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 26?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.650 | $1.3 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 26?No | buy | 111.22 | $0.989 | $110 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 112.31 | $0.988 | $110.96 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 12?No | buy | 110.78 | $0.993 | $110 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 3.71 | $0.270 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 2.16 | $0.740 | $1.6 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?Yes | buy | 4.94 | $0.187 | $0.92 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?Yes | buy | 110.11 | $0.999 | $110 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?No | buy | 115.6 | $0.998 | $115.37 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?No | buy | 110.1 | $0.999 | $109.99 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Narendra Modi in November?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in November?Yes | buy | 4.78 | $0.230 | $1.1 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $120 on November 14?No | buy | 200.45 | $0.005 | $1 | Nov 14, 2025 |