Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 540.4 | $0.701 | $375.58 | -$3.51 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | 2d ago |
|
| No |
| 310.56 |
| $0.966 |
| $281.21 |
| -$18.79 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | No | 600.52 | $0.465 | $279.24 | +$0 |
 Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | No | 286.57 | $0.978 | $278.4 | -$1.86 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 344.81 | $0.670 | $232.75 | +$1.71 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 400.52 | $0.530 | $214.28 | +$2 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 400.49 | $0.465 | $186.23 | -$0 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 294.54 | $0.285 | $75.11 | -$8.81 |
 Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%? | No | 129.95 | $0.550 | $61.73 | -$9.75 |
 Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Yes | 218.73 | $0.274 | $51.4 | -$8.57 |
 Will Michael Johnstone win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election? | Yes | 156.13 | $0.184 | $32.01 | +$3.32 |
 Will Brendan Blomeley win the next Clarence mayoral election? | Yes | 48.05 | $0.520 | $25.23 | +$0.24 |
 Will Trevor Giertuga win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayoral election? | No | 38.14 | $0.450 | $22.5 | +$5.34 |
| Will Michael Johnstone win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election? | No | 21 | $0.830 | $16.7 | -$0.74 |
 Will Stephanie Cameron win the next Meander Valley mayoral election? | Yes | 60 | $0.270 | $16.5 | +$0.3 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 200.53 | $0.071 | $13.94 | -$0.4 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 200.47 | $0.058 | $11.23 | -$0.5 |
| Will Trevor Giertuga win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayoral election? | Yes | 20 | $0.540 | $8.2 | -$2.6 |
 Will Jan Dohnal be the next Mayor of Ostrava? | Yes | 10 | $0.340 | $3.45 | +$0.05 |
 Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | Yes | 2.06 | $0.969 | $2 | -$0 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | Yes | 3.27 | $0.300 | $1.06 | +$0.08 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | Anthropic | 0.5 | $0.960 | $0.48 | +$0 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | No | 0.5 | $0.941 | $0.48 | +$0 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | No | 0.5 | $0.840 | $0.45 | +$0.03 |
 Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 0.5 | $0.840 | $0.44 | +$0.02 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.060 |
| $6 |
| 3d ago |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.058 | $5.8 | 3d ago |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.942 | $94.2 | 3d ago |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.049 | $4.89 | 3d ago |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.043 | $4.3 | 3d ago |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.047 | $4.7 | 3d ago |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 200 | $0.670 | $134 | 12d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.049 | $2.45 | 14d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.041 | $2.05 | 14d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.039 | $1.95 | 14d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.043 | $0.85 | 14d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.059 | $2.95 | 14d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.31 | $0.060 | $0.74 | 14d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.069 | $3.45 | 14d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | 14d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.060 | $0.3 | 14d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.4 | $0.061 | $0.33 | 14d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.45 | $0.060 | $0.33 | 14d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $2.99 | 14d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 44.72 | $0.050 | $2.24 | 14d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.050 | $2.49 | 14d ago |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI | buy | 100 | $0.058 | $5.8 | 16d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | 16d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.35 | $0.059 | $2.1 | 16d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | 16d ago |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI | sell | 100 | $0.044 | $4.4 | 16d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.079 | $3.95 | 16d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.82 | $0.080 | $1.03 | 16d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.070 | $3.5 | 17d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.093 | $0.46 | 17d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.090 | $4.5 | 17d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | 17d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.072 | $3.6 | 17d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 81.76 | $0.084 | $6.87 | 17d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.099 | $4.95 | 17d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 18.23 | $0.102 | $1.87 | 17d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.110 | $5.5 | 17d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.110 | $5.5 | 17d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | 17d ago |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic | sell | 99.5 | $0.952 | $94.72 | 17d ago |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI | buy | 100 | $0.048 | $4.8 | 17d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.080 | $3.98 | 17d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.069 | $3.47 | 17d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | 17d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.039 | $1.95 | 18d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | 18d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.039 | $1.95 | 18d ago |