Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? AND Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | buy | 393.95 | $0.043 | $16.94 | Jul 11, 2026 |
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes| buy |
| 232.23K |
| $0.001 |
| $232.23 |
| Jun 5, 2026 |
 Claude 4.7 released by March 15?Yes | buy | 1.41K | $0.023 | $33 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | sell | 724.52 | $0.046 | $33.33 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 6.51 | $0.238 | $1.55 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 718.02 | $0.383 | $275 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 281.62 | $0.982 | $276.55 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 124.09 | $0.044 | $5.46 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.015 | $2 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 281.61 | $0.210 | $59.14 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.020 | $4 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 563.24 | $0.266 | $150 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.100 | $70 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | sell | 305.55 | $0.350 | $106.94 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | sell | 482.08 | $0.230 | $110.88 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | sell | 275 | $0.180 | $49.5 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 142.45 | $0.052 | $7.4 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 784.62 | $0.127 | $100 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 370.37 | $0.290 | $107.41 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 51.22 | $0.049 | $2.51 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 370.37 | $0.270 | $100 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 454.55 | $0.110 | $50 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.049 | $50 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy before July?Yes | buy | 50.51 | $0.099 | $5 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will Iran declare war on Israel before July?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.016 | $2 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Khamenei before August?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will Israel invade Iran before July?Yes | buy | 131.32 | $0.008 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Major cyberattack on Iran in June?No | buy | 64.1 | $0.078 | $5 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 US forces in Iran before August?Yes | buy | 137.84 | $0.036 | $5 | Jun 24, 2025 |