Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? | Yes | 453.37 | $0.894 | $401.24 | -$3.96 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?No | buy | 430 | $0.389 | $167.4 | 1d ago |
|
| No |
| 499.99 |
| $0.660 |
| $359.99 |
| +$30 |
 Clavicular sentenced to prison? | Yes | 3.38K | $0.110 | $287.25 | -$84.48 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028? | No | 430 | $0.389 | $169.85 | +$2.45 |
 Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | No | 165.72 | $0.676 | $156.6 | +$44.56 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 420.67 | $0.690 | $111.48 | -$178.78 |
 Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Dolly? | No | 81.58 | $0.979 | $80.27 | +$0.41 |
| buy |
| 212.56 |
| $0.660 |
| $140.29 |
| 1d ago |
| Will 80 to 99 tornadoes occur in the United States in August 2026?Yes | buy | 60.1 | $0.887 | $53.29 | 8d ago |
| Will 100 to 119 tornadoes occur in the United States in August 2026?No | buy | 51.73 | $0.910 | $47.07 | 8d ago |
 Will Tropical Storm Dolly strengthen to a hurricane?No | buy | 210 | $0.979 | $205.69 | 8d ago |
| Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Dolly?No | buy | 81.58 | $0.979 | $79.87 | 8d ago |
| Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between August 27 and August 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.27 | $0.961 | $7.95 | 10d ago |
| Will no Atlantic hurricane form in August 2026?Yes | buy | 396.73 | $0.960 | $380.71 | 10d ago |
 Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in China?Yes | buy | 114.45 | $0.999 | $114.34 | 10d ago |
| Will Tropical Storm Karina strengthen to a hurricane?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | 10d ago |
| Will Tropical Storm Dolly strengthen to a hurricane?No | buy | 965.64 | $0.989 | $954.92 | 10d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?No | buy | 5.36 | $0.998 | $5.35 | 10d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?No | buy | 15.74 | $0.997 | $15.69 | 10d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?No | buy | 76.1 | $0.998 | $75.95 | 10d ago |
 Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?No | buy | 1.62K | $0.238 | $385.29 | 23d ago |
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.009 | $9.9 | 23d ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETDown | sell | 6.32 | $0.018 | $0.11 | 24d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETDown | sell | 6.32 | $0.010 | $0.06 | 24d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETDown | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | 24d ago |
 Solana Up or Down - August 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETDown | sell | 18.48 | $0.290 | $5.36 | 25d ago |
| Solana Up or Down - August 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETDown | buy | 18.48 | $0.271 | $5 | 25d ago |
 Will Tropical Storm Lala make landfall in Hawaii as a hurricane?Yes | buy | 1.37K | $0.267 | $366.74 | 25d ago |
| Will 40 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in August 2026?No | buy | 42 | $0.880 | $36.96 | 25d ago |
| Will fewer than 40 tornadoes occur in the United States in August 2026?No | buy | 20.1 | $0.970 | $19.5 | 25d ago |
| Will 100 to 129 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026?Yes | buy | 26.67 | $0.944 | $25.17 | 29d ago |
| Will 100 to 129 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.940 | $9.4 | 29d ago |
| Will 100 to 129 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026?Yes | buy | 125.2 | $0.894 | $111.89 | 29d ago |
 Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan?Yes | buy | 384 | $0.987 | $379.01 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Typhoon Dolphin be a "Very Strong Typhoon" at Japan landfall?Yes | buy | 505.15 | $0.990 | $500 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Typhoon Dolphin be a "Very Strong Typhoon" at Japan landfall?Yes | buy | 121.33 | $0.982 | $119.11 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Typhoon Dolphin be a "Very Strong Typhoon" at Japan landfall?Yes | buy | 32.32 | $0.959 | $31 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Snake" in July?Yes | buy | 664.45 | $0.996 | $661.79 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 732.08 | $0.804 | $588.6 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.25 | $0.354 | $8.23 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 699.46 | $0.250 | $174.73 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 508.72 | $0.779 | $396.3 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | sell | 4.53K | $0.824 | $3.73K | Jul 30, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 4.4K | $0.627 | $2.76K | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 0.97 | $0.999 | $0.97 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Productivity" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 1.22K | $0.901 | $1.1K | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?No | buy | 784.35 | $0.999 | $783.57 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will two people dissent the July Fed decision?No | buy | 1.22K | $0.999 | $1.22K | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will four or more people dissent the July Fed decision?No | buy | 508.04 | $0.999 | $507.53 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will two people dissent the July Fed decision?No | buy | 10 | $0.982 | $9.82 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will three people dissent the July Fed decision?Yes | buy | 255 | $0.973 | $248.15 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Yes | buy | 437.95 | $0.895 | $392 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast get married by December 31?Yes | buy | 522.58 | $0.988 | $516.05 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will more than 310 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?Yes | buy | 1.38K | $0.999 | $1.38K | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?Yes | buy | 9.5K | $0.990 | $9.41K | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?Yes | buy | 54.63 | $0.978 | $53.41 | Jul 10, 2026 |