Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | Yes | 214.29 | $0.070 | $37.29 | +$22.29 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Yes | buy | 214.29 | $0.070 | $15 | Jun 15, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 42.65 |
| $0.469 |
| $22.39 |
| +$2.39 |
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | Yes | 199.99 | $0.110 | $11.1 | -$10.9 |
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 11.11 | $0.630 | $9.39 | +$2.39 |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 20 | $0.520 | $9.3 | -$1.1 |
| buy |
| 42.64 |
| $0.469 |
| $20 |
| Mar 9, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.255 | $5 | Mar 2, 2026 |
North Korea missile launch by February 28?No | buy | 10.45 | $0.670 | $7 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike EditionYes | buy | 19.05 | $0.630 | $12 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.630 | $7 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboYes | sell | 60 | $0.240 | $14.4 | Feb 17, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 24.19 | $0.620 | $15 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 7.37 | $0.678 | $5 | Feb 17, 2026 |
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Feb 6, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 10.41 | $0.350 | $3.64 | Jan 28, 2026 |
Rams vs. BearsBears | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | Jan 19, 2026 |
Rams vs. BearsBears | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Jan 18, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?No | buy | 10.67 | $0.750 | $8 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryYes | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryYes | buy | 28.85 | $0.520 | $15 | Jan 7, 2026 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.760 | $22.8 | Dec 31, 2025 |
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.405 | $2.84 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Will Trump lower tariffs on Mexico by December 31?No | sell | 1.21 | $0.901 | $1.09 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Nothing Ever Happens: MrBeast EditionYes | sell | 15 | $0.900 | $13.5 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Trump out as President by March 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.055 | $5.5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberYes | buy | 36.59 | $0.410 | $15 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Trump out as President by March 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.087 | $8.7 | Nov 17, 2025 |
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | Nov 17, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win 4 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?Yes | sell | 7.35 | $0.993 | $7.3 | Nov 9, 2025 |
Nothing Ever Happens: Military EditionYes | sell | 6.75 | $0.920 | $6.21 | Nov 9, 2025 |
Weed rescheduled in 2025?No | sell | 7.27 | $0.897 | $6.52 | Nov 9, 2025 |
Trump out as President before GTA VI?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.480 | $7.2 | Nov 7, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | buy | 15.27 | $0.524 | $8 | Nov 3, 2025 |
Blue Jays vs. DodgersBlue Jays | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | buy | 7.48 | $0.401 | $3 | Oct 23, 2025 |
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?No | sell | 9.43 | $0.920 | $8.68 | Oct 15, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 147.21 | $0.041 | $6 | Oct 15, 2025 |
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?No | sell | 9.09 | $0.500 | $4.55 | Oct 13, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.037 | $3.7 | Oct 13, 2025 |
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?No | sell | 9.43 | $0.890 | $8.39 | Sep 29, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win 4 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?Yes | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Sep 29, 2025 |
Weed rescheduled in 2025?No | buy | 7.27 | $0.550 | $4 | Sep 29, 2025 |
Nothing Ever Happens: Military EditionYes | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | Sep 29, 2025 |
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Sep 29, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | sell | 5.97 | $0.978 | $5.84 | Sep 29, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?Yes | sell | 11.64 | $0.360 | $4.19 | Sep 2, 2025 |
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.040 | $3.2 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 30.07 | $0.083 | $2.49 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Nothing Ever Happens: JulyYes | sell | 15.78 | $0.989 | $15.61 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by July 31?No | sell | 20.96 | $0.982 | $20.59 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?No | sell | 14.63 | $0.630 | $9.22 | Jul 24, 2025 |
Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?No | buy | 14.64 | $0.683 | $10 | Jul 23, 2025 |