Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 GTA 6 launch postponed again? | Yes | 111.11 | $0.090 | $7.22 | -$2.78 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | 24d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 79.37 |
| $0.063 |
| $2.42 |
| -$2.58 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 34.48 | $0.029 | $0.43 | -$0.57 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.110 | $0.23 | -$0.77 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 30 | $0.033 | $0.11 | -$0.89 |
| buy |
| 111.11 |
| $0.090 |
| $10 |
| Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.033 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes | sell | 5.95 | $0.479 | $2.85 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.58 | $0.279 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.62 | $0.104 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 5.95 | $0.168 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 59.45 | $0.409 | $24.32 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? AND Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07? | buy | 37.31 | $0.026 | $0.97 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 59.46 | $0.185 | $11 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?Yes | buy | 5.8 | $0.172 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 16.95 | $0.059 | $1 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.055 | $0.92 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 7?Yes | buy | 52.14 | $0.019 | $1 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 5?No | buy | 30.54 | $0.033 | $1 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?Yes | buy | 36.06 | $0.028 | $1 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 27.57 | $0.036 | $1 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 105.58 | $0.095 | $10 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or higher on June 2?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.078 | $1 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | May 31, 2026 |
 Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | buy | 41.2 | $0.024 | $1 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | May 31, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 75.57 | $0.013 | $1 | May 31, 2026 |
 Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?Yes | buy | 23.02 | $0.043 | $1 | May 31, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 149.82 | $0.033 | $5 | May 31, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.031 | $1 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.032 | $1 | May 31, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | May 31, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | May 31, 2026 |