Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump renames Persian Gulf to "Arabian Gulf" in May?Yes | buy | 16.28 | $0.430 | $7 | May 12, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 29.85 |
| $0.670 |
| $20 |
| May 12, 2025 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.770 | $7 | May 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Trudeau" during Carney visit on May 6?Yes | buy | 12.07 | $0.580 | $7 | May 5, 2025 |
 Trump approval >40% on June 1?Yes | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | May 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be between 45.0% and 45.9% on April 25?Yes | sell | 9.72 | $0.090 | $0.87 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will the next Pope be from Europe?Yes | buy | 10.77 | $0.650 | $7 | Apr 22, 2025 |
 DeepSeek R2 released before July?Yes | buy | 9.21 | $0.760 | $7 | Apr 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 45.0% and 45.9% on April 25?Yes | buy | 9.72 | $0.720 | $7 | Apr 20, 2025 |
 Will Poilievre say "Trudeau" during Canadian Election Debate on April 17?Yes | buy | 8.78 | $0.797 | $7 | Apr 16, 2025 |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 45.0% and 45.9% on April 18?Yes | buy | 11.29 | $0.620 | $7 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 Supreme Court blocks order forcing Trump to rehire federal workers?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.420 | $7 | Apr 3, 2025 |
 U.S. citizens transferred to El Salvador before July?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.050 | $10 | Apr 3, 2025 |
 BitBoy convicted?No | buy | 9.79 | $0.715 | $7 | Apr 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before June?No | buy | 29.79 | $0.470 | $14 | Apr 3, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk's net worth be more than $340b on April 30?No | buy | 10.29 | $0.680 | $7 | Apr 3, 2025 |
 Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?No | buy | 8.05 | $0.870 | $7 | Apr 3, 2025 |
 Will Luisa González win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 12.73 | $0.550 | $7 | Apr 3, 2025 |
 Will U.S. GDP growth be between 2% and 1% in Q1 2025?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.770 | $7 | Apr 3, 2025 |
 Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 10.45 | $0.670 | $7 | Apr 3, 2025 |
 Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May?Yes | sell | 398.01 | $0.857 | $341.16 | Apr 1, 2025 |
| Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May?Yes | buy | 398.02 | $0.827 | $329.18 | Mar 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Biden" during his presser with Ireland PM?Yes | sell | 890 | $0.370 | $329.18 | Mar 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" during his presser with Ireland PM?Yes | buy | 662.91 | $0.432 | $286.68 | Mar 12, 2025 |
 Georgescu banned from Romania election?Yes | sell | 295.34 | $0.960 | $283.47 | Mar 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" during his presser with Ireland PM?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.430 | $51.6 | Mar 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" during his presser with Ireland PM?Yes | buy | 102.56 | $0.390 | $40 | Mar 12, 2025 |
| Georgescu banned from Romania election?Yes | sell | 98.44 | $0.963 | $94.82 | Mar 12, 2025 |
| Georgescu banned from Romania election?Yes | buy | 368.76 | $0.959 | $353.64 | Mar 11, 2025 |
| Georgescu banned from Romania election?Yes | buy | 25.03 | $0.959 | $24 | Mar 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" during his presser with Ireland PM?Yes | buy | 15.01 | $0.666 | $10 | Mar 11, 2025 |
 Will Russia recapture Sudzha by March 31?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.036 | $1 | Mar 11, 2025 |
 ETHBTC above 0.035 on Nov 30?No | sell | 3.38 | $0.070 | $0.24 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Will 'Espresso' win Record of the Year?Yes | sell | 3.92 | $0.470 | $1.84 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Price of eggs goes up in Trump's first month?No | sell | 4.08 | $0.470 | $1.92 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Will the Social Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the Icelandic parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 3.77 | $0.500 | $1.89 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.440 | $2.2 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | sell | 14.8 | $0.180 | $2.66 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?Alaska | sell | 2.86 | $0.985 | $2.82 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?No | sell | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 3.22 | $0.946 | $3.05 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?No | sell | 9.27 | $0.350 | $3.24 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?No | sell | 5.63 | $0.720 | $4.05 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Another monkeypox case in US in 2024?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.380 | $4.56 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Will Mircea Geoană win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | sell | 4.75 | $0.997 | $4.74 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Will Nancy Mace's trans bathroom bill pass in 2024?No | sell | 6.01 | $0.944 | $5.67 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?No | sell | 8.34 | $0.941 | $7.85 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Will Trump declare a national emergency in his first 100 days?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.680 | $9.71 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 10.98 | $0.920 | $10.1 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?No | sell | 13.09 | $0.900 | $11.78 | Nov 28, 2024 |