Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 210.4 | $0.769 | $179.89 | +$17.98 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.011 | $1.1 | 20d ago |
 |
| No |
| 50 |
| $0.923 |
| $48.88 |
| +$2.73 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 50 | $0.858 | $47.75 | +$4.85 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 40 | $0.909 | $38.78 | +$2.43 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.750 | $38.75 | +$1.25 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 30 | $0.850 | $28.2 | +$2.7 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 36 | $0.717 | $26.82 | +$1 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 25 | $0.640 | $22.13 | +$6.13 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.927 | $19.33 | +$0.79 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | No | 25 | $0.510 | $18.25 | +$5.5 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | 18.52 | $0.864 | $18.2 | +$2.2 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 15 | $0.831 | $14.72 | +$2.26 |
 Trump goes to space in 2026? | No | 15 | $0.952 | $14.69 | +$0.42 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | Yes | 40.01 | $0.220 | $13.2 | +$4.4 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 55 | $0.863 | $11.83 | -$35.62 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 10.74 | $0.559 | $10.04 | +$4.04 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.750 | $9.35 | +$1.85 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 50 | $0.250 | $9.25 | -$3.25 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 100 | $0.117 | $7.15 | -$4.55 |
 NATO dissolves before 2027? | No | 6 | $0.940 | $5.9 | +$0.26 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 4.35 | $0.920 | $4.13 | +$0.13 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 7 | $0.797 | $4.11 | -$1.47 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | Yes | 125 | $0.044 | $2.75 | -$2.71 |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 344.83 | $0.008 | $2.59 | -$0.17 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 150 | $0.070 | $2.18 | -$8.33 |
| sell |
| 30 |
| $0.340 |
| $10.2 |
| Aug 5, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.036 | $1.8 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.140 | $10.5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | sell | 10 | $0.993 | $9.93 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 50 | $0.800 | $40 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.669 | $20.07 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 19.99 | $0.247 | $4.94 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 33.19 | $0.028 | $0.93 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 June 29-July 5?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.420 | $6.3 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.040 | $0.8 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.246 | $3.08 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.040 | $1.6 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.280 | $7 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.580 | $5.8 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.080 | $3.6 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.040 | $4 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.310 | $7.75 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.120 | $4.8 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes | sell | 4.99 | $0.810 | $4.04 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.810 | $12.15 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 55 | $0.886 | $48.73 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.096 | $4.8 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 24.97 | $0.984 | $24.57 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.180 | $1.26 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.041 | $1.44 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.860 | $64.5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.902 | $45.1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.270 | $5.4 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.025 | $2.5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.460 | $4.6 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.180 | $9 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Yes | buy | 20 | $0.280 | $5.6 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes | sell | 54.89 | $0.025 | $1.37 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.336 | $8.4 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 17 | $0.270 | $4.59 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.770 | $3.85 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.851 | $8.51 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.630 | $3.15 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.849 | $4.25 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.088 | $11 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.120 | $9 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.270 | $6.75 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.070 | $1.75 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.230 | $8.05 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.450 | $2.25 | Jun 12, 2026 |