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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?Yes | sell | 788.81 | $0.130 | $102.55 | Mar 12, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 454.11 |
| $0.710 |
| $322.42 |
| Mar 12, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?Yes | buy | 941.57 | $0.699 | $658.19 | Mar 12, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?Yes | sell | 5.17K | $0.127 | $655 | Mar 12, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.160 | $16 | Mar 12, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.180 | $90 | Mar 12, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?Yes | sell | 531.36 | $0.191 | $101.46 | Mar 12, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Mar 12, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?Yes | buy | 1.23K | $0.690 | $845.82 | Mar 12, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?Yes | sell | 2.46K | $0.208 | $511.17 | Mar 12, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?Yes | buy | 436.58 | $0.220 | $96.05 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Another commercial airline evacuation before March?Yes | buy | 42.5 | $0.107 | $4.54 | Mar 1, 2025 |
| Another commercial airline evacuation before March?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.106 | $4.75 | Mar 1, 2025 |
| Another commercial airline evacuation before March?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.104 | $2.6 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy puts on a suit by Friday?No | buy | 25 | $0.967 | $24.18 | Mar 1, 2025 |
| Another commercial airline evacuation before March?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.081 | $1.86 | Mar 1, 2025 |
| Another commercial airline evacuation before March?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.072 | $1.8 | Mar 1, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?Yes | buy | 348.79 | $0.426 | $148.7 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Will GPT-4.5 be released by February 28?No | buy | 35.54 | $0.450 | $15.99 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Will GPT-4.5 be released by February 28?No | buy | 20 | $0.450 | $9 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Will GPT-4.5 be released by February 28?No | buy | 70 | $0.440 | $30.8 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?Yes | buy | 115.06 | $0.600 | $69.04 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | buy | 21.32 | $0.032 | $0.68 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | buy | 78.68 | $0.032 | $2.52 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | sell | 655.96 | $0.930 | $610.04 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?Yes | buy | 27.06 | $0.630 | $17.05 | Feb 26, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?Yes | buy | 112.82 | $0.620 | $69.95 | Feb 26, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?Yes | buy | 220.14 | $0.581 | $127.89 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC?No | sell | 105.56 | $0.988 | $104.29 | Feb 26, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?Yes | buy | 146.7 | $0.447 | $65.51 | Feb 26, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?Yes | buy | 680.42 | $0.441 | $300.11 | Feb 26, 2025 |
| Will GPT-4.5 be released by February 28?No | buy | 103 | $0.870 | $89.61 | Feb 26, 2025 |
| Will GPT-4.5 be released by February 28?No | buy | 25.01 | $0.860 | $21.51 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 New Pope in 2025?Yes | sell | 101.19 | $0.760 | $76.9 | Feb 25, 2025 |
| New Pope in 2025?Yes | buy | 113.69 | $0.790 | $89.82 | Feb 25, 2025 |
| Another commercial airline evacuation before March?Yes | buy | 2.98K | $0.282 | $842.69 | Feb 25, 2025 |
| Another commercial airline evacuation before March?Yes | buy | 325.8 | $0.958 | $311.97 | Feb 25, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?No | buy | 237 | $0.903 | $214.01 | Feb 25, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?No | buy | 537.08 | $0.902 | $484.51 | Feb 25, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek be #1 model before April?No | buy | 200 | $0.960 | $192 | Feb 22, 2025 |
| Will DeepSeek be #1 model before April?No | buy | 238.03 | $0.950 | $226.13 | Feb 22, 2025 |
 Tel Aviv bus bomber arrested by Friday?No | buy | 693.32 | $0.900 | $623.99 | Feb 21, 2025 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before July?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.796 | $1.19K | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI before May?No | buy | 385 | $0.960 | $369.56 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | buy | 3.36K | $0.903 | $3.03K | Feb 18, 2025 |
 New Jersey mystery drones from foreign country?No | buy | 1.78K | $0.950 | $1.69K | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?No | buy | 73 | $0.640 | $46.72 | Nov 26, 2024 |
| Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC?No | buy | 2.1K | $0.850 | $1.78K | Nov 23, 2024 |
 Will George W. Bush attend presidential inauguration?Yes | buy | 163.32 | $0.910 | $148.62 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 30m Bluesky users in November?No | buy | 486.84 | $0.970 | $472.23 | Nov 22, 2024 |