Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 20.01 | $0.860 | $18.91 | +$1.7 |
 Weed rescheduled by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.790 | $3.95 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 10.89 |
| $0.572 |
| $9.5 |
| +$3.27 |
 FDA approves Retatrutide this year? | No | 9.99 | $0.745 | $9.44 | +$2 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.670 | $9.05 | +$2.35 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 10 | $0.480 | $8.55 | +$3.75 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 9.46 | $0.839 | $8.28 | +$0.34 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 10 | $0.140 | $8.1 | +$6.7 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 9.98 | $0.470 | $7.44 | +$2.75 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 18.81 | $0.367 | $6.96 | +$0.06 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 7.27 | $0.799 | $6.8 | +$0.99 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 8.88 | $0.640 | $6.22 | +$0.53 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | No | 5.81 | $0.829 | $5.37 | +$0.56 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.900 | $4.55 | +$0.05 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 5.01 | $0.860 | $4.28 | -$0.03 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | No | 4.03 | $0.870 | $3.83 | +$0.32 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | No | 15 | $0.390 | $3.83 | -$2.03 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | Yes | 21.32 | $0.373 | $3.73 | -$4.22 |
 Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? | No | 3.9 | $0.920 | $3.57 | -$0.02 |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.790 | $3.43 | -$0.53 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | Yes | 18.86 | $0.479 | $3.02 | -$6.02 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 7.86 | $0.350 | $2.79 | +$0.04 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 4.99 | $0.667 | $2.48 | -$0.85 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | No | 17.57 | $0.454 | $1.67 | -$6.31 |
 Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.120 | $1.25 | +$0.05 |
 Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 34.83 | $0.029 | $0.17 | -$0.84 |
| buy |
| 4.47 |
| $0.850 |
| $3.8 |
| Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will France win on 2026-07-04?Yes | buy | 2.11 | $0.710 | $1.5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 1.5Over | buy | 3.87 | $0.540 | $2.09 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 1.5Over | buy | 5 | $0.690 | $3.45 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-04?Yes | buy | 4.26 | $0.820 | $3.49 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.480 | $2.4 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Yes | buy | 4.04 | $0.480 | $1.94 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 9.98 | $0.470 | $4.69 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Yes | buy | 5 | $0.520 | $2.6 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?No | sell | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 2?No | sell | 5 | $0.010 | $0.05 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 2?No | sell | 5 | $0.011 | $0.05 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 2?No | buy | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to AdvanceBelgium | sell | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to AdvanceBelgium | buy | 5 | $0.982 | $4.91 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Solomon advance from the AK-AL primary election?Yes | buy | 4.92 | $0.260 | $1.28 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Solomon advance from the AK-AL primary election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.260 | $1.3 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.460 | $4.6 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.900 | $4.5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.993 | $4.97 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.570 | $2.85 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.630 | $1.64 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | buy | 3.11 | $0.660 | $2.05 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 4.99 | $0.830 | $4.14 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?No | buy | 2.69 | $0.640 | $1.72 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.390 | $3.9 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.620 | $3.1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.620 | $3.1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.900 | $4.5 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?No | buy | 5 | $0.670 | $3.35 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 4.99 | $0.860 | $4.29 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?No | buy | 5 | $0.300 | $1.5 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 14.29 | $0.050 | $0.71 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.240 | $1.2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?Yes | buy | 14.13 | $0.240 | $3.39 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.790 | $3.95 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.68 | $0.380 | $1.4 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.790 | $3.95 | Jun 22, 2026 |