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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 572.58 | $0.935 | $549.96 | +$14.6 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.4K | $0.940 | $1.32K | 14d ago |
|
| No |
| 400 |
| $0.986 |
| $397 |
| +$2.6 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 150 | $0.840 | $141.75 | +$15.75 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 160 | $0.880 | $131.2 | -$9.6 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 123 | $0.990 | $122.08 | +$0.31 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 114 | $0.760 | $80.37 | -$6.27 |
 Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? | No | 66 | $0.970 | $65.54 | +$1.52 |
 Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? | No | 23.5 | $0.860 | $23.38 | +$3.17 |
| sell |
| 1.4K |
| $0.050 |
| $70 |
| 14d ago |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.610 | $4.69 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 587.5 | $0.203 | $119.02 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 273.01 | $0.210 | $57.33 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 80 | $0.150 | $12 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 71.6 | $0.340 | $24.34 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | sell | 124.38 | $0.370 | $46.02 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 18.82 | $0.380 | $7.15 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 270.2 | $0.390 | $105.38 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | sell | 196 | $0.370 | $72.52 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.300 | $120 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.320 | $160 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.390 | $78 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes | sell | 4.68K | $0.008 | $37.4 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Yes | sell | 18.99 | $0.250 | $4.75 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Yes | sell | 220 | $0.640 | $140.8 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?No | sell | 166 | $0.890 | $147.74 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.240 | $1.2 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.254 | $50.7 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 10 AI models by December 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.110 | $22 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.270 | $54 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes | sell | 5.06K | $0.009 | $45.58 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes | buy | 9.74K | $0.010 | $97.4 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No | buy | 123 | $0.990 | $121.77 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 400 | $0.986 | $394.4 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 866 | $0.450 | $389.7 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 6.57 | $0.244 | $1.6 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | sell | 85 | $0.250 | $21.25 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 519.38 | $0.360 | $186.98 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?Yes | sell | 325.23 | $0.021 | $6.76 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?Yes | buy | 20.91 | $0.033 | $0.69 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.370 | $148 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | buy | 300 | $0.290 | $87 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 8.89K | $0.001 | $8.89 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 924.8 | $0.360 | $332.93 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 8.89K | $0.003 | $26.68 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 25.57 | $0.760 | $19.43 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 66 | $0.970 | $64.02 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 649.42 | $0.934 | $606.56 | May 29, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 947.05 | $0.290 | $274.68 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.22K | $0.935 | $1.14K | May 29, 2026 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 14.77 | $0.760 | $11.23 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?No | buy | 23.5 | $0.860 | $20.21 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 4.66K | $0.004 | $18.66 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 4.66K | $0.005 | $23.32 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by April 30?No | buy | 106 | $0.910 | $96.46 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.998 | $59.88 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 8.51K | $0.003 | $25.54 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.358 | $71.7 | Feb 28, 2026 |