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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x China Military clash before 2027? | No | 119.88 | $0.912 | $113.89 | +$4.5 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 21.1 | $0.948 | $20 | 17d ago |
 |
| No |
| 32.97 |
| $0.910 |
| $30.82 |
| +$0.82 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 21.99 | $0.910 | $20.78 | +$0.77 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 21.1 | $0.948 | $20.29 | +$0.28 |
 Modi out by December 31, 2026? | No | 11 | $0.909 | $10.29 | +$0.29 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | 10.46 | $0.916 | $10.27 | +$0.69 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10.1 | +$0.1 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.915 | $9.56 | +$0.41 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.920 | $9.35 | +$0.15 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 7.44 | $0.908 | $7.08 | +$0.32 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 8.7 | $0.804 | $6.83 | -$0.17 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | 7.3 | $0.843 | $6.61 | +$0.46 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 5.95 | $0.840 | $4.79 | -$0.21 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 5 | $0.830 | $4.63 | +$0.48 |
 Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2.32 | +$0.32 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.44 | $0.820 | $2.26 | +$0.26 |
 Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 | No | 2.35 | $0.850 | $1.76 | -$0.24 |
| sell |
| 10 |
| $0.976 |
| $9.76 |
| 17d ago |
 Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?No | sell | 5.15 | $0.967 | $4.98 | 17d ago |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | sell | 5.37 | $0.962 | $5.17 | 17d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.840 | $3 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.820 | $2 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026No | buy | 2.35 | $0.850 | $2 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 NATO dissolves before 2027?No | sell | 10 | $0.988 | $9.88 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 11 | $0.909 | $10 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 21.98 | $0.910 | $20 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 21.98 | $0.910 | $20 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?No | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?No | buy | 5.16 | $0.969 | $5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETUp | sell | 20 | $0.700 | $14 | May 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12AM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.580 | $5.8 | May 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETUp | buy | 20 | $0.520 | $10.4 | May 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.420 | $4.2 | May 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11PM ETUp | sell | 30 | $0.610 | $18.3 | May 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | May 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.430 | $4.3 | May 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11PM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.590 | $5.9 | May 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11PM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.650 | $6.5 | May 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11PM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.640 | $6.4 | May 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETUp | buy | 20 | $0.350 | $7 | May 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10PM ETUp | sell | 40 | $0.140 | $5.6 | May 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10PM ETUp | buy | 40 | $0.370 | $14.8 | May 18, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.830 | $4.15 | May 18, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.920 | $9.2 | May 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | May 18, 2026 |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?No | buy | 9.99 | $0.940 | $9.39 | May 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9PM ETUp | buy | 21.03 | $0.048 | $1 | May 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9PM ETUp | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | May 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETUp | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | May 18, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No | buy | 5.46 | $0.916 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | May 18, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | May 18, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETUp | buy | 20 | $0.460 | $9.2 | May 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.280 | $2.8 | May 18, 2026 |
| EU dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.965 | $9.65 | May 18, 2026 |
| NATO dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.960 | $9.6 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.915 | $9.15 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.916 | $4.58 | May 18, 2026 |