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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%? | Yes | 579.58 | $0.490 | $194.16 | -$89.83 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 946.34 | $0.658 | $622.74 | 1h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 625 |
| $0.240 |
| $96.88 |
| -$53.13 |
 Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30? | Yes | 294.11 | $0.510 | $35.29 | -$114.7 |
 Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 384.18 | $0.280 | $24.97 | -$82.6 |
 Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 1.0% and 1.4%? | Yes | 515.75 | $0.349 | $23.47 | -$156.53 |
| buy |
| 400 |
| $0.660 |
| $264 |
| 2h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 546.34 | $0.681 | $372.16 | 2h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 58.78 | $0.780 | $45.85 | 3h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 41.17 | $0.680 | $28 | 4h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 865 | $0.630 | $544.95 | 4h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 384.6 | $0.568 | $218.51 | 4h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 2?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.278 | $27.79 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%?Yes | sell | 13.3 | $0.480 | $6.38 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party win the TX-03 House seat?Yes | sell | 13.98 | $0.854 | $11.93 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 2?Yes | sell | 20.61 | $0.330 | $6.8 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will “Survivor” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series?Yes | sell | 492.7 | $0.274 | $135 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 2?Yes | sell | 2.03 | $0.500 | $1.02 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 2?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.590 | $5.9 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 1?Yes | sell | 172 | $0.532 | $91.46 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | sell | 330.57 | $0.230 | $76.03 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?Yes | sell | 117.66 | $0.187 | $22.02 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?Yes | sell | 207.69 | $0.636 | $132.13 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | sell | 34.94 | $0.270 | $9.43 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | sell | 19.45 | $0.630 | $12.25 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 1?Yes | sell | 2.12 | $0.290 | $0.61 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 2?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.300 | $21 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.835 | $33.4 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 2?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.410 | $4.1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?Yes | sell | 93.9 | $0.320 | $30.05 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendJD Gaming | sell | 358.76 | $0.250 | $89.81 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on August 1?Yes | sell | 136.27 | $0.270 | $36.79 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on August 2?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.350 | $7 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30?Yes | sell | 364.86 | $0.328 | $119.72 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?Yes | sell | 219.33 | $0.340 | $74.57 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on August 2?Yes | sell | 148.54 | $0.301 | $44.64 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Transparent" during cabinet meeting?Yes | sell | 189.53 | $0.455 | $86.26 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.420 | $25.2 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 2?Yes | sell | 10.2 | $0.510 | $5.2 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 2?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.280 | $4.48 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | sell | 340.9 | $0.440 | $150 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | sell | 61.5 | $0.480 | $29.52 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.6% and 0.8%?Yes | sell | 16.2 | $0.500 | $8.1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 1?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.290 | $1.45 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 2?Yes | sell | 29.97 | $0.480 | $14.39 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Letitia Plummer win the 2026 Harris County Judge election?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.600 | $24 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 2?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.420 | $42 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | sell | 34.17 | $0.790 | $26.99 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 2?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.330 | $3.3 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will another artist be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?Yes | sell | 1.28 | $0.470 | $0.6 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 2?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.450 | $6.75 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 2?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.460 | $1.38 | Jul 31, 2026 |