Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | No | 19.09K | $0.884 | $17.37K | +$500.52 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,200?No | buy | 2.66K | $0.999 | $2.66K | 13h ago |
|
| No |
| 1.81K |
| $0.890 |
| $1.51K |
| -$99.61 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 2.69K | $0.550 | $1.22K | -$255.16 |
 Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? | No | 1.16K | $0.804 | $918.07 | -$15.91 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 720.14 | $0.743 | $640.92 | +$105.8 |
 Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 7.05K | $0.050 | $458.25 | +$105.75 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.01K | $0.260 | $432.8 | -$90.53 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | Yes | 1.2K | $0.447 | $324 | -$212 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | Yes | 2.75K | $0.332 | $315.94 | -$597.1 |
 Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election? | No | 367.81 | $0.350 | $259.31 | +$130.57 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | No | 372.93 | $0.736 | $249.86 | -$24.71 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | Yes | 3.55K | $0.149 | $159.88 | -$371.36 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.640 | $81.5 | +$17.5 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027? | No | 60 | $0.767 | $48.9 | +$2.84 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 50 | $0.890 | $44.75 | +$0.25 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | Yes | 257.97 | $0.388 | $29.67 | -$70.33 |
 Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 5K | $0.004 | $17.5 | -$2.5 |
| Will Mahmoud Khalil be arrested before 2027? | Yes | 45.78 | $0.449 | $9.38 | -$11.16 |
 Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 77.09 | $0.150 | $8.87 | -$2.7 |
| Will Trump endorse Together in the 2026 Israeli Election? | Yes | 310.5 | $0.003 | $1.24 | +$0.31 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | Yes | 149.99 | $0.020 | $0.22 | -$2.77 |
| Will Trump endorse Yashar in the 2026 Israeli Election? | Yes | 27.4 | $0.011 | $0.07 | -$0.23 |
| buy |
| 3.27K |
| $0.998 |
| $3.26K |
| 13h ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,400?No | buy | 761.18 | $0.999 | $760.4 | 13h ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,600?No | buy | 263.26 | $0.997 | $262.52 | 13h ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?No | buy | 519.43 | $0.990 | $514.24 | 13h ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No | buy | 444.1 | $0.890 | $395.25 | 2d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No | buy | 11.46K | $0.890 | $10.2K | 2d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No | buy | 1.81K | $0.890 | $1.61K | 2d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 443.14 | $0.768 | $340.15 | 5d ago |
 Will Lacy and Marlon have between 40 and 49 Fortnite deaths during the marathon?Yes | buy | 221.87 | $0.097 | $21.59 | 6d ago |
| Will Lacy and Marlon have fewer than 100 Fortnite deaths during the marathon?No | buy | 40 | $0.240 | $9.6 | 6d ago |
| Will Lacy and Marlon have 100 or more Fortnite deaths during the marathon?No | buy | 40 | $0.525 | $21 | 6d ago |
| Will Lacy and Marlon have between 40 and 49 Fortnite deaths during the marathon?No | buy | 184.37 | $0.920 | $169.62 | 6d ago |
| Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?Yes | buy | 565.03 | $0.590 | $333.37 | 6d ago |
| Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?Yes | buy | 434 | $0.638 | $276.75 | 6d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 48.8 | $0.998 | $48.7 | 6d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 814.96 | $0.998 | $813.33 | 6d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.998 | $4.99 | 6d ago |
 Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.006 | $10 | 6d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.88K | $0.995 | $2.87K | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 52.35 | $0.990 | $51.83 | 6d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.45K | $0.990 | $1.44K | 6d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.53K | $0.988 | $2.5K | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.17K | $0.997 | $1.17K | 6d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.67K | $0.550 | $918.24 | 6d ago |
 Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?Yes | sell | 596.03 | $0.648 | $386.03 | 6d ago |
| Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?No | buy | 29.99 | $0.931 | $27.92 | 6d ago |
| Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?Yes | sell | 310.69 | $0.802 | $249.15 | 6d ago |
| Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?No | buy | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | 7d ago |
| Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?Yes | buy | 297.84 | $0.930 | $276.99 | 7d ago |
| Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?Yes | buy | 648.88 | $0.919 | $596.07 | 7d ago |
| Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?No | buy | 1.77K | $0.945 | $1.67K | 7d ago |
| Will Lacy and Marlon have between 40 and 49 Fortnite deaths during the marathon?No | buy | 41 | $0.595 | $24.4 | 7d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.41K | $0.044 | $61.35 | 7d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by November 30, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.050 | $49.93 | 7d ago |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 347 | $0.050 | $17.35 | 7d ago |
 Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 404.98 | $0.861 | $348.52 | 8d ago |
| Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.894 | $62.6 | 8d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No | buy | 502.21 | $0.840 | $421.86 | 8d ago |
| Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.900 | $18.9 | 8d ago |
| Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 46.16 | $0.870 | $40.16 | 8d ago |
| Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 305 | $0.829 | $252.8 | 8d ago |
| Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 102.82 | $0.733 | $75.33 | 8d ago |
 Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 67.06 | $0.860 | $57.67 | 8d ago |
 Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on September 2, 2026?No | buy | 1.84K | $0.999 | $1.84K | 8d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | 8d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?No | sell | 35 | $0.550 | $19.25 | 8d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?No | sell | 749.92 | $0.565 | $423.96 | 8d ago |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.75 | $0.860 | $5.81 | 9d ago |