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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1.33K | $0.075 | $23.2 | -$76.8 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 10.3K | $0.611 | $6.29K | 10d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 23.26 |
| $0.430 |
| $4.07 |
| -$5.93 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 7.62 | $0.520 | $3.62 | -$0.34 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 2.99 | $0.810 | $2.87 | +$0.45 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.170 | $0.2 | -$0.8 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.180 | $0.18 | -$1.82 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 2.5 | $0.400 | $0.16 | -$0.84 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | No | 3.13 | $0.320 | $0.08 | -$0.92 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.78 | $0.360 | $0.07 | -$0.93 |
| sell |
| 14.48 |
| $0.615 |
| $8.91 |
| 10d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 2.84K | $0.673 | $1.91K | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 4.5K | $0.670 | $3.01K | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 5.97 | $0.670 | $4 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 2.94K | $0.670 | $1.97K | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 27.03 | $0.657 | $17.76 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026?Yes | sell | 27.15 | $0.680 | $18.46 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 17.53 | $0.300 | $5.26 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 7.62 | $0.520 | $3.96 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?No | sell | 4 | $0.989 | $3.96 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 2.99 | $0.810 | $2.42 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETDown | buy | 231.91 | $0.530 | $122.91 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETDown | buy | 161.37 | $0.062 | $9.98 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETDown | buy | 19.98 | $0.050 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 2.22K | $0.062 | $137.85 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026?Yes | buy | 27.16 | $0.614 | $16.67 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.31K | $0.773 | $1.01K | Jan 21, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 774.17 | $0.762 | $590.2 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will anyone audibly fart during Trump's WEF 2026 speech?No | buy | 1.04K | $0.961 | $1K | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.32K | $0.151 | $200 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETDown | buy | 1.81K | $0.624 | $1.13K | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETDown | buy | 126.2 | $0.850 | $107.27 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETDown | buy | 909.01 | $0.881 | $801.27 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETDown | buy | 123.4 | $0.800 | $98.72 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETDown | buy | 35.25 | $0.550 | $19.39 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETDown | buy | 10.53 | $0.460 | $4.85 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 18.75 | $0.160 | $3 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 187.5 | $0.160 | $30 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETDown | buy | 5.82 | $0.170 | $0.99 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETUp | sell | 36.28 | $0.067 | $2.44 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETUp | buy | 58.95 | $0.250 | $14.74 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETDown | buy | 41.13 | $0.320 | $13.16 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETDown | buy | 4.1 | $0.240 | $0.98 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETDown | buy | 9.7 | $0.430 | $4.17 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 8?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETUp | buy | 20 | $0.320 | $6.4 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETUp | buy | 55.56 | $0.360 | $20 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Maduro out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?No | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 6.31 | $0.022 | $0.14 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.007 | $0.44 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $450–475 in 2025?Yes | sell | 37.01 | $0.450 | $16.65 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $450–475 in 2025?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Dec 26, 2025 |