Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 567.3 | $0.236 | $144.66 | +$10.67 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | sell | 6.77 | $0.580 | $3.93 | 2h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 607.59 |
| $0.249 |
| $136.71 |
| -$14.94 |
 Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes | 1.22K | $0.119 | $103.79 | -$42.21 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 1.34K | $0.096 | $100.69 | -$28.51 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 840.25 | $0.091 | $71.42 | -$4.99 |
 Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.15K | $0.074 | $65.31 | -$19.8 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 480.92 | $0.202 | $64.92 | -$32.27 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 300 | $0.150 | $43.5 | -$1.5 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 4.13K | $0.012 | $30.98 | -$18.07 |
| Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 934.13 | $0.070 | $28.49 | -$36.99 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 420 | $0.130 | $27.3 | -$27.3 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | Yes | 214.4 | $0.051 | $10.61 | -$0.31 |
 Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30? | Yes | 153 | $0.323 | $5.66 | -$43.73 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | Yes | 237.25 | $0.050 | $5.1 | -$6.76 |
| Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 51 | $0.039 | $1.45 | -$0.54 |
 Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? | No | 1.05 | $0.952 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 36 | $0.035 | $0.97 | -$0.29 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.100 | $0.75 | -$0.25 |
| sell |
| 4.77 |
| $0.570 |
| $2.72 |
| 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | sell | 29.69 | $0.730 | $21.67 | 22h ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 915.38 | $0.004 | $3.51 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | sell | 0.71 | $0.350 | $0.25 | 1d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 282.42 | $0.090 | $25.42 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 431.02 | $0.240 | $103.44 | 2d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 153.55 | $0.310 | $47.6 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 66.8 | $0.370 | $24.72 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 98.99 | $0.290 | $28.71 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 138.99 | $0.280 | $38.92 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 95 | $0.300 | $28.5 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | sell | 45.72 | $0.600 | $27.43 | 5d ago |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes | sell | 338.24 | $0.200 | $67.65 | 5d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes | sell | 400.2 | $0.210 | $84.04 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 10.16 | $0.330 | $3.35 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | buy | 29.69 | $0.690 | $20.49 | 7d ago |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 436.99 | $0.086 | $37.58 | 9d ago |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 125.09 | $0.084 | $10.51 | 9d ago |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.19 | $0.083 | $2.01 | 9d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.008 | $8 | 11d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | sell | 355 | $0.010 | $3.55 | 11d ago |
| Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.039 | $1.99 | 11d ago |
| Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 101 | $0.066 | $6.67 | 11d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?No | sell | 321.2 | $0.320 | $102.78 | 11d ago |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Yes | sell | 139.16 | $0.020 | $2.78 | 11d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?No | sell | 688.03 | $0.320 | $220.17 | 11d ago |
| Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.064 | $3.26 | 13d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.18 | $0.200 | $0.04 | 13d ago |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 49.72 | $0.068 | $3.38 | 13d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?No | buy | 28.39 | $0.260 | $7.38 | 13d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 177.17 | $0.200 | $35.43 | 13d ago |
| Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 386.96 | $0.080 | $30.96 | 13d ago |
| Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 285.3 | $0.058 | $16.51 | 13d ago |
 Will Russia target Kyiv on August 23, 2026?Yes | sell | 37.02 | $0.095 | $3.52 | 13d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?No | sell | 0.12 | $0.160 | $0.02 | 14d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?No | sell | 0.1 | $0.030 | $0 | 14d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?No | buy | 59.87 | $0.320 | $19.16 | 15d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on August 23, 2026?Yes | sell | 20.33 | $0.060 | $1.22 | 15d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 48 | $0.140 | $6.72 | 15d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes | sell | 30.24 | $0.280 | $8.47 | 15d ago |
| Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?No | sell | 55.04 | $0.190 | $10.46 | 17d ago |
| Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30?Yes | buy | 123.01 | $0.330 | $40.59 | 17d ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.035 | $1.26 | 17d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 244.48 | $0.260 | $63.56 | 17d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 90.01 | $0.150 | $13.5 | 17d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?No | buy | 27.58 | $0.430 | $11.86 | 17d ago |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes | buy | 159 | $0.052 | $8.27 | 17d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?No | sell | 2.5 | $0.003 | $0.01 | 17d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?No | sell | 0.5 | $0.110 | $0.06 | 17d ago |