Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 1.75K | $0.370 | $113.63 | -$533.05 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 719.49 | $0.697 | $501.59 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 719.49 |
| $0.697 |
| $104.33 |
| -$397.26 |
| sell |
| 423.22 |
| $0.476 |
| $201.51 |
| Mar 10, 2026 |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Yes | buy | 39.39 | $0.330 | $13 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 2.08K | $0.006 | $12.59 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Yes | buy | 383.83 | $0.255 | $98 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 398.48 | $0.250 | $99.62 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.21K | $0.370 | $446.68 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.54K | $0.130 | $200 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 540.83 | $0.370 | $200 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?No | sell | 856.64 | $0.988 | $846.36 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 538.46 | $0.130 | $70 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?No | sell | 72.72 | $0.967 | $70.32 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?No | buy | 856.64 | $0.974 | $834.12 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.080 | $50 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?No | sell | 885.89 | $0.998 | $884.12 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?No | buy | 885.9 | $0.993 | $879.38 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 19.13 | $0.450 | $8.61 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | sell | 520.83 | $0.450 | $234.41 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.79K | $0.356 | $636.36 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 127.98 | $0.480 | $61.43 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 142.85 | $0.430 | $61.43 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 587.07 | $0.410 | $240.7 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 520.83 | $0.480 | $250 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.14 | $0.220 | $4.21 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.140 | $20 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 48.78 | $0.410 | $20 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 344.83 | $0.290 | $100 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 317.24 | $0.290 | $92 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.240 | $50 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?No | buy | 36.36 | $0.550 | $20 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?No | buy | 36.36 | $0.550 | $20 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?Yes | buy | 42.29 | $0.473 | $20 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.250 | $50 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 251.92 | $0.998 | $251.42 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 116.88 | $0.077 | $9 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.03 | $0.310 | $10.86 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?Yes | sell | 603.33 | $0.018 | $10.86 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 216.89 | $0.461 | $99.94 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 503.33 | $0.300 | $151 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Oct 16, 2025 |