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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 11.97 | $0.835 | $10.84 | +$0.84 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 3.41 | $0.880 | $3 | 32m ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 18.87 |
| $0.530 |
| $10.09 |
| +$0.09 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 5.86 | $0.853 | $5 | -$0 |
 Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 5.81 | $0.860 | $4.91 | -$0.09 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | No | 4.88 | $0.820 | $4.17 | +$0.17 |
 Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 3.63 | $0.826 | $3.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 3.41 | $0.880 | $3.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | Yes | 2.55 | $0.785 | $2.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 2.61 | $0.765 | $1.19 | -$0.81 |
 Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man? | No | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
 Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? | Yes | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
| Jonathan Majors as Kang? | No | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
| Hugh Jackman as Wolverine? | Yes | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 1.29 | $0.773 | $1.1 | +$0.1 |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | No | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
 Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 1.54 | $0.650 | $0.98 | -$0.02 |
| Will Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 1.11 | $0.899 | $0.97 | -$0.03 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | Yes | 1.39 | $0.618 | $0.88 | +$0.02 |
| buy |
| 1.11 |
| $0.899 |
| $1 |
| 38m ago |
| Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | 41m ago |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.993 | $1.15 | 44m ago |
 Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-10?Yes | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | 10h ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | 1d ago |
| SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC: Arsenal FC O/U 0.5Over | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | 1d ago |
| FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over | sell | 1.11 | $0.999 | $1.11 | 1d ago |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-09?Yes | sell | 3.26 | $0.998 | $3.25 | 1d ago |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-09?Yes | buy | 3.26 | $0.920 | $3 | 1d ago |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-10?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | 1d ago |
| FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | 1d ago |
 Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes | sell | 4.92 | $0.960 | $4.72 | 1d ago |
 US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena RybakinaElena Rybakina | sell | 1.35 | $0.450 | $0.61 | 1d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.88 | $0.820 | $4 | 1d ago |
| US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena RybakinaElena Rybakina | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | buy | 5.86 | $0.853 | $5 | 1d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | 2d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?Yes | sell | 2.56 | $0.160 | $0.41 | 2d ago |
 LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsBilibili Gaming | sell | 5.55 | $0.950 | $5.27 | 3d ago |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Games Total: O/U 4.5Under | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | 3d ago |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsBilibili Gaming | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | 3d ago |
 Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETUp | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | 3d ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETUp | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | 3d ago |
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06?Yes | sell | 1.81 | $0.780 | $1.41 | 4d ago |
| Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: Arsenal FC O/U 1.5Over | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETUp | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETUp | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | 5d ago |
| Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?No | buy | 2.47 | $0.810 | $2 | 5d ago |
 Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-09-05?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETUp | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.905 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.97 | $0.835 | $10 | 5d ago |
| Fulham FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 5.5Under | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-09-05?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETDown | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETDown | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | 5d ago |
 Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-05?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Coventry City FC | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Nottingham Forest FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5Under | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Manchester City FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | 6d ago |
| Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | 6d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | 6d ago |
 US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos AlcarazCarlos Alcaraz | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | 6d ago |