Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 4.9K | $0.007 | $34.32 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 266.66 |
| $0.090 |
| $24.03 |
| Jan 25, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 113.63 | $0.041 | $4.66 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike EditionYes | sell | 11.56 | $0.500 | $5.78 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?No | sell | 29.99 | $0.989 | $29.66 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 8.85 | $0.830 | $7.35 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 59.98 | $0.690 | $41.39 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | sell | 57.37 | $0.005 | $0.29 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Yes | sell | 1.99 | $0.820 | $1.63 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Venezuela next?No | sell | 3 | $0.977 | $2.93 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | sell | 5.76 | $0.948 | $5.46 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?No | sell | 59.99 | $0.850 | $50.99 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.961 | $57.66 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?No | sell | 59.99 | $0.974 | $58.43 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?No | sell | 74.99 | $0.963 | $72.18 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 900 | $0.985 | $886.5 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 0.2 | $0.790 | $0.16 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 13.7 | $0.890 | $12.19 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 4.28 | $0.800 | $3.42 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike EditionYes | sell | 15.46 | $0.500 | $7.73 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike EditionYes | sell | 8.64 | $0.490 | $4.23 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Yes | buy | 1.99 | $0.870 | $1.73 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Somalia next?Yes | sell | 2.09 | $0.620 | $1.3 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Venezuela next?No | buy | 3 | $0.980 | $2.94 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Somalia next?Yes | buy | 2.09 | $0.580 | $1.21 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike EditionYes | sell | 5.88 | $0.490 | $2.88 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 5.76 | $0.949 | $5.47 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 4.22 | $0.910 | $3.84 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 14.1 | $0.920 | $12.97 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 1.64 | $0.910 | $1.49 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 5.47 | $0.920 | $5.03 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 18.26 | $0.900 | $16.43 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 1.64 | $0.900 | $1.48 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 29.99 | $0.990 | $29.69 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.910 | $1.2 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 4.43 | $0.900 | $3.99 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 14.77 | $0.910 | $13.44 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 49.26 | $0.900 | $44.33 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 2.99 | $0.810 | $2.42 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.810 | $1.21 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?No | buy | 59.99 | $0.870 | $52.19 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | sell | 59.99 | $0.920 | $55.19 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 1.8 | $0.840 | $1.51 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 5.29 | $0.840 | $4.44 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 1.76 | $0.840 | $1.48 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 59.99 | $0.920 | $55.19 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike EditionYes | buy | 5.66 | $0.480 | $2.72 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?No | sell | 6.48 | $0.943 | $6.11 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike EditionYes | buy | 4.96 | $0.490 | $2.43 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?No | sell | 2.99 | $0.943 | $2.82 | Jan 16, 2026 |