Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.083 | $8.9 | -$7.7 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | sell | 200 | $0.280 | $56 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 40 |
| $0.500 |
| $2.2 |
| -$17.8 |
| buy |
| 256 |
| $0.024 |
| $6.14 |
| Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by March 31?Yes | buy | 498 | $0.024 | $11.95 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?Yes | buy | 290.19 | $0.250 | $72.55 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?Yes | buy | 116.71 | $0.238 | $27.81 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.075 | $6 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?Yes | sell | 110 | $0.999 | $109.89 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.020 | $2.2 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.580 | $75.4 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.240 | $72 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.628 | $100.5 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Kuwait in March?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.953 | $95.29 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Kuwait in March?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.956 | $95.58 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Saudi Arabia in March?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.974 | $97.4 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?Yes | buy | 550 | $0.380 | $209 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Qatar in March?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.974 | $243.55 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Qatar in March?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.980 | $245 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETUp | sell | 100 | $0.520 | $52 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:00PM-3:15PM ETUp | sell | 200 | $0.530 | $106 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETUp | sell | 100 | $0.530 | $53 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETUp | sell | 300 | $0.530 | $159 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETUp | sell | 200 | $0.530 | $106 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETDown | sell | 2.87 | $0.530 | $1.52 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETDown | sell | 100 | $0.530 | $53 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETDown | sell | 100 | $0.530 | $53 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETDown | sell | 300 | $0.530 | $159 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETUp | sell | 163.02 | $0.510 | $83.14 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETUp | sell | 8.03 | $0.591 | $4.75 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETDown | sell | 178.29 | $0.800 | $142.63 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETUp | sell | 110 | $0.540 | $59.4 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETUp | sell | 203.6 | $0.510 | $103.84 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETUp | sell | 100 | $0.530 | $53 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETUp | sell | 200 | $0.530 | $106 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETUp | sell | 300 | $0.530 | $159 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETDown | sell | 100 | $0.530 | $53 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETDown | sell | 150 | $0.530 | $79.5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETDown | sell | 250 | $0.530 | $132.5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETDown | sell | 55.66 | $0.530 | $29.5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETUp | sell | 0.01 | $0.570 | $0.01 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Iraq in March?No | sell | 45.62 | $0.140 | $6.39 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Iraq in March?No | sell | 24.38 | $0.161 | $3.92 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei seen in public by March 3?No | buy | 75 | $0.950 | $71.25 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei tweet again by March 14?No | sell | 0.6 | $0.640 | $0.38 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei tweet again by March 14?No | buy | 566.95 | $0.856 | $485.54 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei tweet again by March 14?No | buy | 238 | $0.852 | $202.68 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.480 | $24 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by February 28?Yes | sell | 2.33 | $0.160 | $0.37 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.310 | $6.2 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?Yes | sell | 78 | $0.090 | $7.02 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.009 | $4.5 | Jan 27, 2026 |